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Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 12:13 PM Dec 2017

23 Democratic Party Senate seats up for re-election in 2018, but only 8 Repub seats. Yikes.

Much is made of the 2018 re-election, but I was shocked to see that 23 Dem seats are up for grabs in 2018, and 2 independents, while only 8 Repub seats are.

Even in a Democratic Party favored year, those are some really tough odds to overcome. Are we making too much of the favored status for 2018? Of course Dems should fight for all those seats, no matter what. But I had thought the seats up for grabs was more equal.

All the House of Rep seats are up for re-election in 2018, I believe, which gives the Dems some leverage, IMO.

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bearsfootball516

(6,377 posts)
1. Dems likely retake House while Repubs maintain control in the Senate is the most likely outcome
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 12:19 PM
Dec 2017

But as we saw in Alabama, anything is possible. If we can take a seat in Arizona and Nevada and hold all of our seats, that's 51. But that means holding some tough seats, like Donnelly in Indiana.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
7. True.
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 03:29 PM
Dec 2017

And if Mexican Americans in Arizona show up to vote, we could take both. Unfortunately Mexican Americans in Arizona have a weak voting record. African Americans are not a big group in Arizona, maybe 5% of the population, so they can't provide a base for our candidates there.

We can also pick up Heller's seat in Nevada if we are organized.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
6. Donnelly's chance of holding his seat improved by the day.
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 03:21 PM
Dec 2017

Indiana is one of the state's that is being hurt by Trump actions so far and 2018 should be worse for that state. Donnelley just need to challenge republican lies about him and not let them grow.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
8. Really? Well, taking the House would be something, and increasing our position in the Senate...
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 09:52 PM
Dec 2017

is better than not.

You're so knowledgeable on this!

CrispyQ

(36,478 posts)
2. "Are we making too much of the favored status for 2018?"
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 12:22 PM
Dec 2017

Yes.

This would be a hard battle if we had a fair system, but our electoral process is horribly compromised & little has been done to fix it. We also have an unstable man at the helm. Don't underestimate what the Con is willing to do to keep control of Congress.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
9. Well, yes. That's a real possibility. And why the Repubs have taken no action.
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 09:53 PM
Dec 2017

They are willing to let the Russians in our government, as long as they win the seats.

a kennedy

(29,675 posts)
3. Ive heard on faux noise that the Dems could take the House, but not the Senate....
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 12:33 PM
Dec 2017

thought that’s something coming from them.....

AlexSFCA

(6,139 posts)
5. I still think its easier for dems to take the senate
Sun Dec 24, 2017, 02:59 PM
Dec 2017

simply because senate races are always statewide where gerrymandering plays no role. All senate races depend exclusively on the turnout as we recently saw in Alabama. 100M eligible folks did not vote in 2016. There is no such thing as red or blue state, it all depends on the turnout. I beleive the enthusiasm will be on democratic side in 2018.

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