General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums23 Democratic Party Senate seats up for re-election in 2018, but only 8 Repub seats. Yikes.
Much is made of the 2018 re-election, but I was shocked to see that 23 Dem seats are up for grabs in 2018, and 2 independents, while only 8 Repub seats are.
Even in a Democratic Party favored year, those are some really tough odds to overcome. Are we making too much of the favored status for 2018? Of course Dems should fight for all those seats, no matter what. But I had thought the seats up for grabs was more equal.
All the House of Rep seats are up for re-election in 2018, I believe, which gives the Dems some leverage, IMO.
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)But as we saw in Alabama, anything is possible. If we can take a seat in Arizona and Nevada and hold all of our seats, that's 51. But that means holding some tough seats, like Donnelly in Indiana.
crazycatlady
(4,492 posts)Blue_true
(31,261 posts)And if Mexican Americans in Arizona show up to vote, we could take both. Unfortunately Mexican Americans in Arizona have a weak voting record. African Americans are not a big group in Arizona, maybe 5% of the population, so they can't provide a base for our candidates there.
We can also pick up Heller's seat in Nevada if we are organized.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Indiana is one of the state's that is being hurt by Trump actions so far and 2018 should be worse for that state. Donnelley just need to challenge republican lies about him and not let them grow.
Honeycombe8
(37,648 posts)is better than not.
You're so knowledgeable on this!
CrispyQ
(36,478 posts)Yes.
This would be a hard battle if we had a fair system, but our electoral process is horribly compromised & little has been done to fix it. We also have an unstable man at the helm. Don't underestimate what the Con is willing to do to keep control of Congress.
Honeycombe8
(37,648 posts)They are willing to let the Russians in our government, as long as they win the seats.
a kennedy
(29,675 posts)thought thats something coming from them.....
AlexSFCA
(6,139 posts)simply because senate races are always statewide where gerrymandering plays no role. All senate races depend exclusively on the turnout as we recently saw in Alabama. 100M eligible folks did not vote in 2016. There is no such thing as red or blue state, it all depends on the turnout. I beleive the enthusiasm will be on democratic side in 2018.