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gabeana

(3,166 posts)
Tue Apr 24, 2018, 05:53 PM Apr 2018

What is this BS with Gallup misleading

According to Gallup "37% say that Trump deserves re-election which is the exact same number who said that about Bill Clinton in 1994 and Barack Obama in 2010"

Chris Cillizza and Harry Enten over at CNN break it down pretty good

https://www.cnn.com/2018/04/24/politics/trumps-approval-rating/index.html

BUT, the numbers for Obama and Clinton are from October 2010 and 1994, respectively. That's after a full year of Republicans spending millions of dollars to campaign against them. We are only in April for Trump -- and the fall campaign is at its earliest stages. Virtually no ads attacking him have even run.
So, apples and oranges, right? Or wrong? And what else did you see in the poll?
Enten: Thanks for the email. I think you're on the right track with thinking this poll result isn't all it's cracked up to be.
Gallup itself released numbers closer to this point (late April of the midterm year) for both Obama and Clinton. Obama was at 46% in late March and 48% in late May of 2010. Far above Trump. Clinton was at 46% in late March and 40% in late April of 1994.
So, I don't know why Gallup did what it did. Of course, one could argue that because Trump's approval rating has been so steady that it will be in a similar position later this year, but I don't like to make assumptions like that. Who knows what all the ads Democrats will run this summer and fall will do to his ratings?

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What is this BS with Gallup misleading (Original Post) gabeana Apr 2018 OP
Two things: Tommy_Carcetti Apr 2018 #1

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,188 posts)
1. Two things:
Tue Apr 24, 2018, 06:04 PM
Apr 2018

1. With both Presidents Clinton and Obama (especially Obama), they were still in the process of emerging from pre-existing economic recessions. While the economy is showing some signs of slowing, Trump still is benefiting from the economic boom handed to him by President Obama.

2. Neither President Clinton nor President Obama were embroiled in a scandal that called to question the very legitimacy of their election.

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