Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report: Dem Lockouts now UNLIKELY

[RandySF]

Link to tweet

[Demsrule86]

1. Thank God!!!!

[Matthew28]

2. Good

[Demsrule86]

3. 48 is tied...

https://www.vox.com/2018/6/5/17425334/california-primary-election-2018-live-results-polls

[Garrett78]

7. Keirstead's slim margin will likely increase.

[Exotica]

12. new update, his lead is now down to only around 600 votes over the Rethug Baugh with 48.9% in

https://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-rep/district/48

[Garrett78]

13. I still think he or Rouda will finish 2nd. And both may finish ahead of Baugh.

[Exotica]

14. I hope Rouda finishes 2nd. He is the stronger candidate to boot out that POS Rohrabacher

[SunSeeker]

17. Yep. Rouda has overtaken Baugh in the last couple hours.

UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 48th District
Completed Precincts: 386 of 415
Vote Count/Percentage
DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)30,481/30.2%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)17,441/17.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)17,335/17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)16,368/16.2%
https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2018/results.htm#c-1649

[Exotica]

18. Rouda is now only 106 votes behind Keirstead, I think he is going to catch him (93% in)

[SunSeeker]

20. Harley is 73 votes ahead of Kierstead with all precincts reporting!!!!

UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 48th District
Completed Precincts: 415 of 415
Vote CountPercentage*
DANA ROHRABACHER (REP)31,886/30.3%
HARLEY ROUDA (DEM)18,182/17.3%
HANS KEIRSTEAD (DEM)18,109/17.2%
SCOTT BAUGH (REP)16,963/16.1%
OMAR A. SIDDIQUI (DEM)5,110/4.9%
https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2018/results.htm#c-1649

[Exotica]

21. yes! I posted an OP like 10 minutes ago, wooot

https://upload.democraticunderground.com/100210699748

I GUARANTEE there is going to be a recount, these 2 HATE each other, it was an insane campaign, full of pure nastiness

I so hope all of our side rallies behind the winner (Rouda I hope).

[Tarheel_Dem]

4. Everyone has the right to run, but since CA is so different, I wonder why they don't just coaslesce

around one or two candidates to avoid potential lockouts.

[Garrett78]

5. Ego plays a big role, I imagine.

Some simply care more about the potential to win (even when they have almost no chance) than they care about doing what is best (i.e., whatever it takes to defeat Republicans).

[Tarheel_Dem]

6. Don't they have a Dem legislature there? Couldn't they change it back to the way it used to be? nt

[Garrett78]

8. We'll need another ballot initiative to undo the ballot initiative that led to our top-2 system.

[Cha]

10. Yeah, that's what I thought.. but, I just learned, too..

that it was a "Ballot initiative" that Schwarzenegger implemented in exchange for raising taxes on the rich guys.

Tarheel:

[Exotica]

11. It is actually popular here amongst my fellow Cali Dems

Hopefully many change their mind after tonight.

[grantcart]

16. Why in the hell would you change?

We shut them out of the Senate and 10 Congressional seats.

Not having a competitive Senate candidate will reduce enthusiasm down ticket for Republicans.

One if the reasons Dems have a super majority in the legislature is because of the jungle primary.

Think about it, if you were a young Republican professional would you want to run for office if you can't even get on the GE ballot the first 2-3 times?

Every year fewer Republicans even bother to run, and those that do are almost all independently wealthy.

Won't work every where but it works great in CA.

Tonight Dems won 1 Senate and 10 Congressional GE election and lost none.

[Cha]

9. I hope that holds, Dave Wasserman! And

damn the foamers.

[grantcart]

15. And Republicans likely locked out in 10 Congressional races

Plus the Senate

[Demsrule86]

23. That is so fucking awesome!!!

[Hortensis]

19. I got up in the middle of the night to check this.

So far, very good. Thanks, RandySF.

[Demsrule86]

22. Rouda is ahead of Keirstead by a handful of votes with 100% reporting

So the Dems were not shut out and I think Rouda has a better chance...there are allegations against Keirstead of sleeping with grad students and fighting...don't know if this is made up GOP bullshit or not.