VA-10: Comstock Moves From Toss up to Lean Democratic
Cook Political:
Comstock had $1.6 million in the bank in late May. With her primary in the past, Comstock will highlight her differences with Trump, including voting against the GOP's healthcare bill last spring. But she'll need to find ways to disqualify Wexton to survive.
Wexton, a Leesburg resident who grew up in Maryland, carries some important advantages into the general. First, she already represents about a quarter of the 10th CD. Second, whereas 2016 nominee LuAnn Bennett lived in extravagant McLean and was easily caricatured as a wealthy DC liberal insider, Wexton can campaign as a family advocate and political pragmatist who recently voted to pass a bipartisan bill to expand Medicaid in Richmond.
But Wexton is also somewhat untested at this level. She isn't known as the most natural or polished retail politician, and may not have dominated the primary without valuable nods from Gov. Northam and the Washington Post. Republicans point to her intro ad, which featured campaign workers dressed up in rented police uniforms, as disrespectful to law enforcement and evidence Wexton's campaign isn't ready for prime time.
This race is far from over. But several Republicans privately express doubts about spending millions on expensive DC television trying to save this seat when there are far cheaper routes to holding the majority. It moves from Toss Up to the Lean Democratic column.