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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,922 posts)
Sun Jul 1, 2018, 10:14 PM Jul 2018

Pollsters: Dems will take back House

A panel of pollsters is predicting that Democrats will win back 23 seats in this year's midterm elections, enough to win back the house majority.

Hill.TV's "What America's Thinking" canvassed its panel of pollsters on how many seats Democrats will gain.

The average answer for the first-ever Poll of Pollsters was 23 seats, the show announced Friday.

That's exactly the number that Democrats need to flip control of the chamber from Republicans.

"I feel like if 2016 taught us nothing, it is we should not make predictions. So I'm doing this under duress I'll have you know," joked pollster Anna Greenberg, who predicted Democrats would gain 25 seats.

Republican pollster Ed Goeas of the Tarrance Group predicted it was a "better than even chance" that Democrats reclaim control of the House for the first time in eight years.

He predicted Democrats would net 23 seats.

Carly Cooperman, a partner at Schoen Consulting and a Democratic pollster, predicted a gain of 24 seats. "We see the generic vote is in the Democratic favor and a lot of the competitive seats are held by Republicans," she said.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/pollsters-dems-will-take-back-house/ar-AAz1Ujo

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Pollsters: Dems will take back House (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jul 2018 OP
We really need seats in local Trumpocalypse Jul 2018 #1
Correct. J_William_Ryan Jul 2018 #8
Blue wave, sister! Kath2 Jul 2018 #2
Four months seems like an eternity. gordianot Jul 2018 #3
Not good enough manor321 Jul 2018 #4
Women who value their freedom from having children will get out there too. shraby Jul 2018 #5
I have no doubt we have the votes nini Jul 2018 #6
For some strange, bizarre, unsubstantiated reason... Guilded Lilly Jul 2018 #7
Given that the final national polls were off by only a point or two, yes it is bizarre mythology Jul 2018 #9
The House is not national, it is 435 districts. former9thward Jul 2018 #13
Close enough for Putin to swing it back to the GOP. Doodley Jul 2018 #10
K&R Scurrilous Jul 2018 #11
No Chickens counted Cha Jul 2018 #12

J_William_Ryan

(1,753 posts)
8. Correct.
Sun Jul 1, 2018, 11:27 PM
Jul 2018

Control of state houses is the only way to counter the damage that will be done by a rightwing extremist Supreme Court.

Overturning Roe will be moot if the states don’t seek to ‘ban’ abortion, or otherwise violate the privacy rights of residents of the states.

 

manor321

(3,344 posts)
4. Not good enough
Sun Jul 1, 2018, 10:19 PM
Jul 2018

1) That is WAY too close.

2) With only 23 or 25 seats, that gives ENORMOUS power to the conservadem assholes to get all the attention, all the time. The leadership will cave to them.

3) These pollsters need to recalibrate after the Kennedy retirement. Republicans have wanted to overturn Roe for decades. You're telling me they won't show up to outlaw abortion? Of course they will.


shraby

(21,946 posts)
5. Women who value their freedom from having children will get out there too.
Sun Jul 1, 2018, 10:24 PM
Jul 2018

To clarify, birth control is on the line also. The reich wing has already floated the idea that birth control pills are abortions also.

Guilded Lilly

(5,591 posts)
7. For some strange, bizarre, unsubstantiated reason...
Sun Jul 1, 2018, 10:45 PM
Jul 2018

I have lost confidence in POLLS. (Snork)

However, I see the Blue Wave in the distance and am anxiously waiting for the refreshing splash.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
9. Given that the final national polls were off by only a point or two, yes it is bizarre
Mon Jul 2, 2018, 12:10 AM
Jul 2018

National polling in 2016 was more accurate than in 2012.

former9thward

(31,981 posts)
13. The House is not national, it is 435 districts.
Mon Jul 2, 2018, 07:47 AM
Jul 2018

District polling is very inaccurate because the national polling firms do not have the money to poll enough people in the districts. So they guess statistically.

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