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turbinetree

(24,695 posts)
Tue Jul 3, 2018, 12:30 PM Jul 2018

Endangered Devin Nunes Down 27 Points Since 2016 Race

By Eric Boehlert

July 3, 2018 3:30 am / 0 Comments / Campaign 2018, Congress, Headlines

Reprinted with permission from Shareblue.

All across the country, House Republicans in traditionally very safe districts suddenly find themselves scrambling to survive in the age of Trump. And now Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA), who easily won re-election by 35 points in 2016, is down to just an eight-point lead over his Democratic challenger, Andrew Janz.

In a new Public Policy Polling survey, paid for by Democratic political action committee End Citizens United, 49 percent of voters support Nunes, compared to 41 percent who support Janz.

Typically, an eight-point advantage is a comfortable margin. But compared to 2016, this means Nunes’ level of support has already plummeted by an astonishing 27 points in less than two years.

And given the massive scale of the campaign his challenger is running, Nunes’ support could easily drop even further in the more than four months between now and November.

http://www.nationalmemo.com/endangered-devin-nunes-down-27-points-since-2016-race/

November 2018 cannot get here fast enough

solution:

https://www.andrewjanzforcongress.com/press

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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comradebillyboy

(10,144 posts)
3. Nunes doesn't really appear to be at risk of losing his seat.
Tue Jul 3, 2018, 01:53 PM
Jul 2018

An 8 point advantage is still a pretty comfortable lead.

haele

(12,649 posts)
7. It will hurt in his area. Lots of vets/retirees in that area - not just corporate farms.
Tue Jul 3, 2018, 02:16 PM
Jul 2018

The majority of the white population in that area are long time "Law Abiding Citizens" and "America, Love it or Leave it"/1950's Bircher types - and they're older and struggling. They don't have money to invest on Wall Street, and they especially distrust foreigners, gangsters, and foreign entanglements.
They are more nationalists than Trumpeteers - and someone - especially one who is a wealthy career politician (not a vet or someone who came up out of a "Real American" working class family), who is caught lying, has foreign ties and can be proven to have taken foreign money, is not someone they'll vote for - over a "Real American".

That he's dropped as much as he has is very telling. There's another 10% or so just holding on to the Name Brand GOP - until Drumpf totally embarrasses himself again over North Korea, or when the cost of living finally goes sky-high because of tariffs and it can't be blamed on the Democrats or the State of California. These people will just not come out to vote.

Haele


brooklynite

(94,508 posts)
6. Not ready to call him "endangered"...
Tue Jul 3, 2018, 02:02 PM
Jul 2018

It's rated as a SAFE-R district; he has 10x the money than Janz does, and everyone in the district had a chance to vote against him in last month's Primary (remember, they have a all-candidate jungle Primary system). Nunes got 54,887 to Janz's 30,141

Delarage

(2,186 posts)
9. I just donated
Tue Jul 3, 2018, 03:08 PM
Jul 2018

Because I hate Nunes

I'd hit the ground for Janz, but that's a long trip from Delaware.

I'll be knocking on doors in PA and NJ

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