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Recursion

(56,582 posts)
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 02:47 PM Jul 2018

If we can't stop the appointment, there's zero sense losing a seat over the appointment

If we can stop it, there's a lot of sense in losing a seat over it.

So this all comes down to Collins and Murkowski.

There are times you need to make a politically unpopular non-symbolic vote.

There are times you need to make a politically popular symbolic vote.

There is never, ever a good time to make a politically unpopular symbolic vote.

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If we can't stop the appointment, there's zero sense losing a seat over the appointment (Original Post) Recursion Jul 2018 OP
November 8, 2016 was when we could have stopped this. Blue_true Jul 2018 #1
Ain't that the truth (nt) Recursion Jul 2018 #2
Why would you think that a vote against Trump's nominee would be unpopular? Girard442 Jul 2018 #3
It might hurt Red state dems to vote against OliverQ Jul 2018 #4
For Heitkamp and Manchin, a vote against could well cost them their seat Recursion Jul 2018 #5
It's equally possible that they vote to save their asses and theaocp Jul 2018 #9
It's a no win for Donnelly forthemiddle Jul 2018 #7
It's quite an assumption to believe it won't piss off more Democrats than Republicans ... kentuck Jul 2018 #11
The party controlling the senate will decide who Hortensis Jul 2018 #6
At best Democrat come away with a small majority in the Senate after the midterms standingtall Jul 2018 #10
No, doesn't have to be that way. Especially with someone as Hortensis Jul 2018 #12
If Democrats have a majority in 2019 and there is another vacancy, Schumer can invoke tritsofme Jul 2018 #13
And if the nominee has 51 or 52 declared supporters? standingtall Jul 2018 #14
The point I was making is that it doesn't matter how many declared supporters there are. tritsofme Jul 2018 #15
They could vote for Trumps nominee and still lose too standingtall Jul 2018 #8
Why do Democrats continue to believe that voting with Trump and Republicans will inoculate them? EffieBlack Jul 2018 #16

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
1. November 8, 2016 was when we could have stopped this.
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 02:55 PM
Jul 2018

But some that think they knew better either wasted a vote, voted for Trump or didn't vote to show them (whatever them was). So we lost a President and a chance to pick up 2-3 Senate seats. Now, we are totally on the defensive with NO logical options. Those that supposedly knew better, enjoy the suck.

Girard442

(6,070 posts)
3. Why would you think that a vote against Trump's nominee would be unpopular?
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:13 PM
Jul 2018

Or that a vote for the nominee would be popular.

If a senator can capture a swing voter by supporting Trump but causes five progressive voters to stay home in disgust, that's not a winning strategy.

 

OliverQ

(3,363 posts)
4. It might hurt Red state dems to vote against
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:15 PM
Jul 2018

Trump's pick, since the conservative base wants a rabid right-winger on the court to destroy their lives even more.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
5. For Heitkamp and Manchin, a vote against could well cost them their seat
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:16 PM
Jul 2018

Jones seems to think it could also cost him his, which I disagree with, but he's still on the ground there and I'm not anymore.

theaocp

(4,237 posts)
9. It's equally possible that they vote to save their asses and
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:25 PM
Jul 2018

get attacked by the repukes anyway. I'm sure 45 will remember their loyalty or whatever and leave them alone.

forthemiddle

(1,379 posts)
7. It's a no win for Donnelly
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:22 PM
Jul 2018

Especially if the nominee is Indiana native Amy Coney Barrett.
He needs Trump voters to win in November, and I’m afraid voting against her loses him the election. Especially since he just voted for her last year.

https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2017/10/31/donnelly-one-few-democrats-back-notre-dame-professor-federal-court/817992001/

kentuck

(111,094 posts)
11. It's quite an assumption to believe it won't piss off more Democrats than Republicans ...
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:32 PM
Jul 2018

...to vote for someone that will probably vote to over-ride Roe v Wade and coverage for pre-existing conditions .

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
6. The party controlling the senate will decide who
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:21 PM
Jul 2018

fills the next vacancies. Our senators up for reelection will say and vote for what they must to be reeleected. Politics isn't for people who can't suck it up and do what they have to.

standingtall

(2,785 posts)
10. At best Democrat come away with a small majority in the Senate after the midterms
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:27 PM
Jul 2018

With Trump still being President. If red state Democrats are willing to vote for Trumps nominee now than they will do it again between 2019 and 2021 if another supreme court opening emerges.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
12. No, doesn't have to be that way. Especially with someone as
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:38 PM
Jul 2018

erratic as Trump and something as fluid and ruthless as national politics. We don't know now what leverage we'll have and deals that might be made, but no doubt there are various long and short games in the planning. We must be positioned to use what power we can get to its maximum.

tritsofme

(17,377 posts)
13. If Democrats have a majority in 2019 and there is another vacancy, Schumer can invoke
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:48 PM
Jul 2018

the McConnell Rule and simply refuse to schedule any floor time.

Even if the nominee had 50 declared supporters counting Republicans and red state Democrats, Schumer would be under no obligation to schedule a vote.

standingtall

(2,785 posts)
14. And if the nominee has 51 or 52 declared supporters?
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:54 PM
Jul 2018

Counting all republicans and 2 or 3 red state Democrats. What then? Btw we should not forget that with just 50 votes for the nominee Mike Pence gets to act as the tie breaking vote.

tritsofme

(17,377 posts)
15. The point I was making is that it doesn't matter how many declared supporters there are.
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 04:02 PM
Jul 2018

50 or 53, Schumer would be under no obligation to schedule a vote, he controls the Senate floor.

Those red state Dems could issue press releases in “frustration” but I very much doubt they would bolt the party over it.

standingtall

(2,785 posts)
8. They could vote for Trumps nominee and still lose too
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 03:23 PM
Jul 2018

If red state Democrats vote to confirm Trumps nominee and Democrats retake the Senate after the midterms, what good would the majority do us if there is another supreme court opening between 2019 to 2021? If red state Democrats are willing to confirm Trumps nominee for the sake of reelection now than they will do it again.

 

EffieBlack

(14,249 posts)
16. Why do Democrats continue to believe that voting with Trump and Republicans will inoculate them?
Sun Jul 8, 2018, 04:03 PM
Jul 2018

I have yet to see a Democrat votes with Republicans be given a pass by the GOP election time.

They can vote with the Republicans to their hearts' content, but Trump and the Republicans will still come after them hammer and tong.

Charlie Brown. Lucy. Football.

Every damned time.

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