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***Reuters/Ipsos Poll Update shows gigantic blue wave-Dems have massive 13 point edge! 46-34!** (Original Post) NewsCenter28 Jul 2018 OP
Only with GOTV! Lives depend on it! nt Lisa0825 Jul 2018 #1
Can't only by GOTV. Has to be PERSUASION. The Dem Party needs a strong, clear MESSAGE! LBM20 Jul 2018 #35
Great, but those aren't votes --- yet RandomAccess Jul 2018 #2
Just remind anyone who are thinking we may have enough votes. Blue_true Jul 2018 #8
The young folks need to vote. And Russia hasn't had their full say yet. coti Jul 2018 #3
Nice to contemplate but I'm not counting any chickens until they're hatched. Golden Raisin Jul 2018 #4
Agreed ggmac0427 Jul 2018 #43
Don't buy it! FirstLight Jul 2018 #5
GOTV in overdrive yes and work in overdrive yes NewsCenter28 Jul 2018 #6
I certainly hope so too... but FirstLight Jul 2018 #10
Finish!!!!! That is all that matters. VOTE!!!! Screw polls. nt Blue_true Jul 2018 #7
11/7/2016 - Hillary Clinton win probability: 98+% (Princeton Election Consortium) regnaD kciN Jul 2018 #9
Good points there. sandensea Jul 2018 #17
Did he adjust for Russian hacking? KansasKali Jul 2018 #11
How do you say 'Bingo' in Russian! sandensea Jul 2018 #19
Beto and lying Ted are even. #BlueWave sarcasmo Jul 2018 #12
That is unbelievable...so awesome...can't stand Cruze. Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #27
The alt-right/Russians will try to sucker punch us again, radius777 Jul 2018 #13
First of all if the election is not close ...very hard to steal...the best way to win is to GOTV. Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #28
13% isn't massive. CentralMass Jul 2018 #14
Maybe not, but rough estimates say about 7% OliverQ Jul 2018 #16
Yes it is...it is massive. Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #29
Dems are going to vote this treasonous bastards back to hell Pepsidog Jul 2018 #15
This is blue-wave Jul 2018 #18
No we didn't do this in the last election...16 was a shitshow which I hope showed most Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #30
This is good news, but... Dopers_Greed Jul 2018 #20
It is going to be tough... no doubt -bad year for us in the Senate...but we have to try for the Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #31
2020 will be just as bad Dopers_Greed Jul 2018 #42
if only we were voting today Demovictory9 Jul 2018 #21
K&R Scurrilous Jul 2018 #22
All good is BULLSHIT if people .... flying-skeleton Jul 2018 #23
Not until all the votes are cast, and most importantly, not till all the votes are counted... Hekate Jul 2018 #24
so in other words, repugs will win by 1-2%, in all the important places. nt TheFrenchRazor Jul 2018 #25
No, as specials have shown...the GOP will lose in areas that are suprising in my opinion. Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #32
Put me in the "don't bet the farm on it" camp. Midnight Writer Jul 2018 #26
Put me in the enthusiastic, 'we can do it ' camp. Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #33
It never fails to amaze me how some want to fight a battle that can't be won like the Kavanaugh Demsrule86 Jul 2018 #34
we need to be well over 50% and then the GOP will be going, oh crap... beachbum bob Jul 2018 #36
Put me in the "get your ass out and vote, even if you think we have this all sewn up" camp! Meadowoak Jul 2018 #37
Put me in the "vote like your life depends on it, because it does" camp. Meadowoak Jul 2018 #38
What will they win? kentuck Jul 2018 #39
GOTV and kick their asses to the curb dalton99a Jul 2018 #40
GOTV! mcar Jul 2018 #41
I'm not getting excited until I hear on election night that Dems took the House and Senate kimbutgar Jul 2018 #44
GOTV Dems like we are 20 points behind! workinclasszero Jul 2018 #45
What is their polling methodology, sample size? triron Jul 2018 #46
 

LBM20

(1,580 posts)
35. Can't only by GOTV. Has to be PERSUASION. The Dem Party needs a strong, clear MESSAGE!
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 07:06 AM
Jul 2018

I think the message should be HIGHER WAGES AND GOOD HEALTHCARE FOR EVERYONE! (These are the two biggest issues that work for us. (Others could be: MAKE AMERICA SANE AGAIN! or A GOVERNMENT THAT BELONGS TO ALL OF US! or RECLAIMING AMERICA FOR THE MAJORITY! or FIGHTING FOR AMERICA'S WORKING FAMILIES!)

Whatever it is, it needs to be short, clear, strong, and compelling. Not just some bland crappy thing like "A BETTER DEAL." My god that SUCKS!

I like HIGHER WAGES AND GOOD HEALTHCARE FOR EVERYONE EVERYWHERE! All Democrats, progressive or centrist, can agree to it. It gives voters something tangible for their vote. And they are our two biggest issues. We win on healthcare and on the economy when we talk about higher wages. Too many people are working multiple low wage jobs.

 

RandomAccess

(5,210 posts)
2. Great, but those aren't votes --- yet
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 11:00 PM
Jul 2018

We're going to have to do whatever it takes to get massive turnuot.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
8. Just remind anyone who are thinking we may have enough votes.
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 11:10 PM
Jul 2018

November 8, 2016. There is NEVER too many votes, let's bury the assholes. Take this country back to sanity.

ggmac0427

(38 posts)
43. Agreed
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 03:23 PM
Jul 2018

It's easy to sit on your rear end and tell someone how you're GOING TO vote, another thing to actually get out there and do it.

NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)
6. GOTV in overdrive yes and work in overdrive yes
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 11:07 PM
Jul 2018

But I am supremely confident it is a Dem House majorirty come November!

FirstLight

(13,355 posts)
10. I certainly hope so too... but
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 11:18 PM
Jul 2018

as my Grandma said "Hope for the Best, but Prepare for the Worst"

my hope is tempered with the knowledge that this corrupt Govt is beyond what we are capable for imagining...

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
9. 11/7/2016 - Hillary Clinton win probability: 98+% (Princeton Election Consortium)
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 11:15 PM
Jul 2018

Besides, that’s just one poll — the 538 rolling average has us up by a little under 9%. And it’s estimated that gerrymandering gives Republicans a baked-in 8% advantage, so we're just barely above that.

sandensea

(21,596 posts)
17. Good points there.
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 01:18 AM
Jul 2018

Hillary herself said it best: We have to run like we're 10 points behind.

And she wasn't kidding (when does she!).

sandensea

(21,596 posts)
19. How do you say 'Bingo' in Russian!
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 01:20 AM
Jul 2018

That, I think, is what that bevy of GOP senators was doing in Moscow the other day: They were there to get Putin's personal assurance that his hackskis would steal the 2018 midterms for them.

radius777

(3,635 posts)
13. The alt-right/Russians will try to sucker punch us again,
Tue Jul 10, 2018, 11:32 PM
Jul 2018

and I hope Dems are ready for it this time.

Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me.

The Russians worked overtime in the 2017 French election to destroy Macron and get Le Pen elected. It failed however, as the French are an informed and savvy electorate who saw through it.

Demsrule86

(68,456 posts)
28. First of all if the election is not close ...very hard to steal...the best way to win is to GOTV.
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 06:45 AM
Jul 2018

And remember the GOP/Russian operative telling you Democrats suck ....even here...are working for the other side. Disregard every word they write, tweet or say.

 

OliverQ

(3,363 posts)
16. Maybe not, but rough estimates say about 7%
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 01:17 AM
Jul 2018

on the GCB is enough to make Republican gerrymandering actually work in Democrats' favor. If we actually maintain 13% through November and that is reflected in the votes, it's definite Senate and House flip territory.

blue-wave

(4,344 posts)
18. This is
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 01:20 AM
Jul 2018

nice and pleasing to see, but I'm going to be a spoiler here.

We did this in the last election. Most polls showed Hillary winning up to election day. And what happened? I think we all know. Stop rejoicing at poll numbers and get out there and register voters, work a precinct or a Democratic call center. And oh, if you have the means donate. But do not become overconfident until the returns come in on election night. Republicans literally take politics as a form of war. We should too.

Demsrule86

(68,456 posts)
30. No we didn't do this in the last election...16 was a shitshow which I hope showed most
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 06:48 AM
Jul 2018

Democrats the dangers of message voting and how the parties are not the same...in this case, the courts will do it. In order to stop Trump judges, we need the Senate a spread like this means we have a shot...double down and work very hard. we can do this...fired up and ready to go.

Dopers_Greed

(2,640 posts)
20. This is good news, but...
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 01:20 AM
Jul 2018

The individual races matter more.

We must make a net gain of 2 senate seats. Otherwise McTurtle is at the helm again.

I'm getting concerned about Florida and Missouri.

Demsrule86

(68,456 posts)
31. It is going to be tough... no doubt -bad year for us in the Senate...but we have to try for the
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 06:49 AM
Jul 2018

courts. This is why I am against primarying sitting Dems...spend the money on the Senate.

Dopers_Greed

(2,640 posts)
42. 2020 will be just as bad
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 10:12 AM
Jul 2018

Nearly all Senate seats up for re-election are solid red.

So Repubs are going to control the Senate until at least 2022 if we don't take it back in November.

Hekate

(90,550 posts)
24. Not until all the votes are cast, and most importantly, not till all the votes are counted...
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 01:42 AM
Jul 2018

There's a heavy hand on the far-right side of the scales these days.

GOTV. Keep working.

Demsrule86

(68,456 posts)
34. It never fails to amaze me how some want to fight a battle that can't be won like the Kavanaugh
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 06:54 AM
Jul 2018

appointment. But when the Senate is in play. and that is a fight we have a chance to win...some are not enthusiastic or optimistic-this could stop Trump's judges and evil policy cold.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
36. we need to be well over 50% and then the GOP will be going, oh crap...
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 07:46 AM
Jul 2018

since real campaigning doesn;t start until after Labor Day, this number looks good

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
45. GOTV Dems like we are 20 points behind!
Wed Jul 11, 2018, 03:36 PM
Jul 2018

Don’t let up on the damned GOP!

Let’s make the blue wave a tsunami this fall!!

House and Senate!!

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