***BREAKING NEW POLL-*** CA Rouda (Democrat) 46% Rohrabacher (All Russia People's Front) 43%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Rouda registers 46% support and Rohrabacher has the backing of 43% among all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 89% of all registered voters in the district). The state of the race does not change much when applying two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model shows the race at 47% for Rouda and 45% for Rohrabacher, while a model that includes a turnout surge in Democratic precincts gives Rouda a statistically insignificant 48% to 44% edge.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_ca_071718/

[BumRushDaShow]

1. If we're lucky

Rohrabacher will be one of the un-named indictments by Mueller and then he could fight it and to stay on the ticket anyway.

[beachbum bob]

2. like this, any time an incumbent is polling under 50% and in this caase under 45%, its bad for them

gotta feel good about a race like this

[NY_20th]

3. K&R