TO BEAT CYBER WARFARE IN FUTURE ELECTIONS, GO GUERILLA -- Part 1

[ancianita]

First: Because we know the goal is TO WIN, our focus could be on the 220 counties that voted for Obama in 2012 and did not vote Hillary in 2016. I learned all this here in DU. So I'm trying to put all this info together toward a winning vote model.

The Democratic Party admits that they have nothing -- nothing! -- that comes close to the Republican ground game that the Koch machine has built over forty years.

Kochs' machine focuses its spending on

1. academic influence (see Nancy McLean's book, Democracy In Chains for the institutional buildout)
2. Citizens United-based dark money (I can only think of OpenSecrets, etc. -- please help here)
3. suppression systems through fake cyberware like Crosscheck (specialized site explanations are best)
4. buying and promoting the best institutional trainees as GOP (Koch) machine candidates (many from religion-based law schools, right wing for profit law schools, foundations, etc.)
5. creating horse race, divisive scripts to distract from all the above, from political fearmongering radio (Armed Forces network, Levin, right wing communications networks like Sinclair, Channel One, et. al.) to Internet-TV ad buy.

With free horse race-tabloid-outrage AV coverage ...

Trump won 30 out of 50 states to Clinton’s 20 states.
He won 2,623 counties to her 489 counties.
There are 3,242 counties and county equivalents in the United States.

Trump won 220 counties that had voted for Obama in 2012.

Trump's turnout wasn't high, just high enough in WI, MI, PA, to get electoral college dudes for the technical knockout win.

Second, Dems can win those 220 counties back. They are key "base." When everyone who has registered to vote actually votes, results always go to Democrats.

Someone in the party's has got a list of those counties -- see Tom Perez and campaign operatives.
All the rest of us should know exactly where they are.
This party and the rest of us had better go find out what these voters want to motivate them to vote.
Koch has used money.

What Dems have is a People's track record. But money is now blasting their voices.

When the Dems can't match Koch's money, they'd better come up with A GUERRILLA MODEL.

The Guerrilla Model is laid out in Part 2.

[ancianita]

1. Really? Crickets?

[Loki Liesmith]

7. Crickets because

you’ve left anything substantive for part 2

[ancianita]

8. Fair enough. I'm posting it soon.

[dawg]

2. I believe that many of those white midwestern voters who supported Obama in 2008 ...

did so because they really were economically distressed at the time. Once the economy started looking better, they felt freer to vote based on their "issues" (aka racism, sexism, etc.).

For our part, many of us sat silently and allowed Republicans (and others) to demonize our standard-bearer. It wasn't just her, though. She actually outperformed the down ballot races in those upper midwest states.

What we really need is for our base to turn out in force. Progressive millennials need to show up in force to vote for whomever the broader party chooses to nominate, even if it's Joe Manchin.

We need for minorities to vote in numbers similar to whites, and we need for hispanic voters to show up in force in states like Texas (and to stop giving a significant percentage of their votes to Republicans).

Northern Democrats need to stop electing Republicans to state offices. I don't care if they are moderate on abortion and gay rights, they work ceaselessly to empower the national party. There is no legitimate reason for states like New Jersey, New York or Illinois to *ever* have a Republican governor. And yet ...

And lastly, just so I can make sure to gore my own ox as well, white Southerners need to wake the fuck up. (At least the non-millionaire ones.) This is sort of happening in Virginia, but it needs to spread. It'd probably only take 35% of white voters to usher in a blue tsunami in states like mine. (Georgia)

[ancianita]

3. Turnout is not the only thing. It's the counting of that turnout that counts. In these 220 counties.

I have a plan. We need to try it. It's not expensive, and it's honest, no matter who tries to tamper with it.

[dawg]

4. I'm definitely intrigued.

Personally, I think we need to work much harder to get out the vote and help people understand the importance of off-year and state-level elections. Much of the built-in advantage Republicans have in the House stems from their control of state legislatures.

[ancianita]

5. I'll be posting my plan later. It does an end run around legislatures' control of voting. BUT it

it requires lawyers who can twist the arms of county commissioners, in court, to get on board.

The Democratic Party can afford the payoff of spending the legal costs.

[ancianita]

6. We need the names of these counties and their county commissioners. The FBI should contact all the

states that had irregularities, to advise them to use a non-machine vote ballot, count, certification of both ballots and counts, and their delivery to the safest locations. County commissioners will have to get on board or go to court. Looking at you, ACLU.



Below is a map of states' vote count preparation levels.

Four states require audits but do not use paper-based voting systems statewide and so a portion of their ballots go unaudited. These states – Colorado, Kentucky, Pennsylvania and Texas – received a “needs improvement” rating.

25 states conduct no audits at all and received an “inadequate” rating: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Virginia and Wyoming.

All this looks overwhelming, doesn't it. It's a big country, that's why. But voting across these 220 counties -- or all counties in the USA -- can be simplified, cost efficient and accurate in representing The People's voice.

Guerrilla Model, Part 2, skips all the partisan middle men in the counting and delivering of presidential election votes.

[ancianita]

9. Ballotpedia has the counties' names and states.

Trump's average margin of victory in those counties was 11.43 percent, while Obama won them by 12.23 percent in 2008 and 8.22 percent in 2012.

This link is worth a serious look.

I'd love to provide the site graphic here but it doesn't transfer.

https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_Pivot_Counties_-_the_206_counties_that_voted_Obama-Obama-Trump