New poll shows Trump approval rating at 48 percent

[Snake Plissken]

http://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/398796-poll-trump-approval-now-at-48-percent

I wish I could say this surprises me, but it doesn't, in fact it's depressingly pretty much what I am seeing.

I visit various of my client's facilities several times a week and deal with numerous people throughout the day ranging from various backgrounds and education levels, not many people have anything good to say about either party, or government in general, but they're not sure a party that is primarily interested in focusing on fighting for people who are in this country illegally will be any better.

I'm not saying they are right, I'm just telling you exactly what I am seeing, the Democrats are allowing Trump to frame the narrative, and the narrative is all about Trump, nobody knows what the Democrats stand for other than what he is saying, because that is what he media keeps repeating over, and over again.

Trump should be down by at least 20 points, but right now there is no other subject or people being discussed other than Trump

The Democrats are blowing this opportunity by not having a message that resonates with voters other than "Trump is bad", everyone already knows Trump is bad, it's time stop spending 24/7 discussing Trump and a get a coherent message out to voters about what Democrats have to offer voters, and not what Democrats have to offer people who can not vote, or do not vote.

[marylandblue]

1. New unknown polling outfit gives Trump a better rating than even Rasmussen?

Sorry, if I am not ready to panic yet.

[brush]

49. Agreed. Why are these right wing polls posted here?

[PoorMonger]

2. An all new pollster

Brought to you by thehill tv ? Meh it’s just another R heavy slanted garbage poll I bet. Just like Rasmussen

[lagomorph777]

25. Just like Rasmussen only crazier.

Not buying it, thanks.

[MaryMagdaline]

3. Marist (A rated) has him at 38%

Why would Trump be higher than he ever was, even after the NK bump? doesn't make sense. Not accepting this poll.
(38% is still too high)

[Squinch]

46. Quinnipiac is down there too.

[Iliyah]

4. fake news, next.

[bdamomma]

26. nt

[beachbum bob]

5. Bullshit poll, don't waste the time on posting garbage

[Snake Plissken]

6. This is exactly the attitude that got Trump elected

Let's keep doing what we did in 2016 because it worked out so well.

[NCTraveler]

7. You are right. Fake news played a large role. nt

[beachbum bob]

8. I can't help what a bunch of Jill stein voters did and the Bernie brother types, we

Democrats voted for the winner and stein voters gave the election to trump.

[mythology]

11. The stupid myth about Sanders voters being crucial needs to die

More Sanders supporters voted for Clinton in the GE in 2016 than Clinton supporters voted for Obama in 2008. The roughly 10% who didn't is in line with previous presidential elections.

[Act_of_Reparation]

16. I doubt it ever will.

It's easier to blame that 10%, milennials, Sanders, primaries, or the Russians for the entirety of the loss than admitting Democratic strategists miscalculated Trump's chances of winning several key states and failed to encourage several key demographics to turn out. We're just going to keep whining about irrational and unreliable people not being rational or reliable enough for our liking. We're just going to keep ignoring the fact that getting people out to vote is our job.

[MaryMagdaline]

48. Hmmm, it's a bit their job, too (i.e. the irrational and unreliable people)

Sorry, we were let down by some pretty slack Americans with no sense of civic duty.

[Squinch]

47. Marsha, Marsha, Marsha.

[LanternWaste]

45. Post hoc ergo prompter hoc.

It's an efficient fallacy when often use when we lack objective evidence to support our own premise, regardless of the irrelevancy of your attitude.

But yeah, I get it: gotta keep that narrative going! Nice job on that, if nothing else.

[RhodeIslandOne]

9. There was another poll the showed him at 39% approval

Why is this poll right?

[NCTraveler]

10. The Hill has been running with this bullshit for days. It's literally days worth of propaganda.

http://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/398370-majority-of-americans-support-follow-up-summit-with-putin-poll

http://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/398580-poll-majority-of-americans-say-the-would-not-vote-for-a

http://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/398796-poll-trump-approval-now-at-48-percent

[JaneQPublic]

15. Hill's straight-news stories are great; however...

...it's opinion pieces and other materials tend to lean right. See below.

[msongs]

22. dont see DU on this chart. nt

[bearsfootball516]

30. DU isn't really a news organization, it's a message board.

[Doodley]

38. Liberal and Conservative is just a construct. IMO, Democrats are where right leaning

European parties are, and Repubs would be extreme right. The media is way to the right across the board, when millions of people losing healthcare and babies being separated from their parents aren't dominating the news agenda. These things would not be accepted by the media elsewhere.

[peggysue2]

12. Rasmussen has the Trumpster at . . .

48% and is a C+ rated poll. Nate Silver has adjusted to weighting and come in with 41% on that particular snap shot.

The far higher-rated polls have been coming in with approval #s below 40%.

Who you gonna believe?

If the Trumpster and his enablers have their way it won't be your lying eyes or ears.

My suggestion? Reduce your reliance on snapshot polls (even the feel-good ones), energize your friends, your neighbors and family and put your shoulder to the wheel to roll over the GOP in November.

We can do this. Because we must.

[Awsi Dooger]

42. The latest Rasmussen poll is 46% not 48%

I agree it looks like 48% in 538's table. I initially read it at 48%. But that's a problem with font and color scheme. It is actually 46%, and adjusted downward to 41%, as you indicate.

I don't care about isolated polls. We need Nate's poll consensus to drop below 40% like late 2017. The recent trend has been downward, dropping a full point.

[peggysue2]

43. You're right

I went back and checked and it is indeed 46%. Rasmussen is always outside the other polls and routinely has that C-C+ rating.

Yes, I too would like to see the compilations drop lower though I think we'll have to settle that 30-40% of the population will stick to the Trumpster, no matter what. So, our strategy--rather than dwelling on polls, any polls--is to energize our voters and those leaning in our direction to flood the polls in November, working as if we were 10 points behind.

As I said before:

We can do this. Because we must.

[gratuitous]

13. 48% approval, that's pretty good for his immediate family

The rest of the United States? Not so much.

[Snake Plissken]

17. That makes for a great internet meme,

but that is not what I am seeing on a day to day basis among working class people, if the DNC continues to ignore it and waste their time chasing Trump's laser pointer around instead of getting a coherent message out to voters, expect Republicans to keep control of all three branches of government. if the DNC doesn't get it's act together and focus on winning the districts that matter like Putin did in 2016, I can easily see Democrats picking up huge margins in heavily blue districts in November and still not being able to swing the districts that matter

[LanternWaste]

44. If you're unable to read the plainly written coherent message by the DNC,

If you're unable to read the plainly written coherent message by the DNC, that's on you and no one else, regardless of the laser pointers you're fascinated by..

(but to be clear: that's merely what "I'm seeing...", and we all know anecdotal evidence is, at best, the last refuge an unsupported conclusion )

[JaneQPublic]

14. Nate Silver's Pollster Ratings doesn't have American Barometer, but...

...One of the participating operations, Harris, is rated only as C+, both as Harris Interactive and as Louis Harris and Associates.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

[Fla Dem]

18. New Quinnipiac poll has his approval at 39. Details inside.

Detailed Results at link.

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2557

Quinnipiac poll is a very respected poll.

[ismnotwasm]

19. What Democrats are you talking about?

What message do you think the Democrats have? Fighting Trump is a political necessity if we are to go forward with anything like actual legislation.

[Snake Plissken]

23. I really don't know what message the Democrats have, I wish I can tell you what it is.

whatever it is its lost my the tsunami of Trump that they are willful participants of.

And honestly I really don't care what it is because there is zero chance of me even considering voting for a Republican, but that is not what I'm seeing among a surprisingly large amount of people, do not underestimate Trump's con game, because the vast majority of Americans are not interested in spending the time to educate themselves, they will take what ever the media feeds them and right now all that's on the menu is Trump all day, all night, all the time.

[ismnotwasm]

37. When they come up with a 'slogan' it's criticized. It is kinda lame.

I just know that my personal Democrats, both at state and local level, are working their asses off. There is no one size fits all. Democratic leaders, and Democrats everywhere are also working hard. I guess it depends on what you pay attention to. One thing Trump is very good at, is sucking all the oxygen out the room. There is lots of other things going on besides Trump. I am very very lucky in my state and my representative, and my senators, and my governor, and even my states Attorney General.

[budkin]

20. Total bullshit... he's polling at pretty much his lowest point right now

Who the fuck are these guys?

[DrDan]

21. as trump says, do not believe everything you see and read

[leftynyc]

24. LMAO

and who is paying for this brand new poll that nobody has ever heard of?

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

27. I think it's an outlier

However if other polls trended this way I might worry.

[Scurrilous]

28. Pffffft.

[NewJeffCT]

29. The media is allowing Trump to frame the narrative

by not covering Democratic responses.

the same thing happened in 2008 - Trump got the headlines every single day because every day there was an outrageous tweet, a crazy statement at a rally or a new Trump scandal emerging. No matter how many good speeches she gave and how many good things she did, Clinton was basically ignored until the DNC email "scandal" broke.

[coti]

31. Stop kicking this nt

[titaniumsalute]

32. Please stop posting bullshit

Refer to real polls and aggregates like these two reliable sites.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

Why post an unknown poll from an unknown company? I could ask 100 people on the street the same question. But that wouldn't be a scientific poll and shouldn't be posted and debated on DU or anywhere else.

[Skidmore]

33. Stagwell Media LLC Acquires Select Mobile Research Assets From Nielsen, Launches HarrisX

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/stagwell-media-llc-acquires-select-mobile-research-assets-from-nielsen-launches-harrisx-300473466.html

HarrisX to provide leading insights into key telecom markets and mobile device usage

Mark Penn to act as Chairman and Dritan Nesho named CEO of HarrisX

Mark Penn, political pig...need we say more

[Recursion]

34. Guarantee they're using outdated partisan identification

Marist and Quinnipiac both have him under 40.

If you stuck with 2016 party ID, I could see getting a result like this, but self-identification as a Republican has taken an absolute dive in the intervening year and a half.

[Kaleva]

35. I can make up stuff too.

Trump did give out the order to ignore what one hears with their own ears and sees with their own eyes because everything is actually going great.

Mainstream polls are showing that Trump is taking a drubbing and the odds of Dems taking the House are good.

We are flipping red seats to blue in special elections. Hell, we won a US Senate seat in ALABAMA of all places.

But the OP tells us to ignore what we see and hear.

[ProfessorGAC]

36. Bogus Poll Alert: Read The Last Paragraph

"The results are then weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, education, political party, and political ideology where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population".

We have zero idea how the weighting was done, and whether there is any statistical merit to the approach.

If the data is properly stratified, then randomly sample within the strata, why would one even need weighting? Unless of course, one was trying to get a specific result.

Yes; i'm accusing them of that.

Approval rating went down in 2 polls just yesterday. Then this outfit nobody has ever heard of uses methodology nobody knows and gets a different number.

Pretty suspicious.

[honest.abe]

39. Harrisx is a new polling firm whos Chairman is Mark Penn (former Clinton aid turned Trumper)

It sounds like a bogus polling operation setup to spew out doctored data favorable to Trump and Republicans.

http://www.stagwellgroup.com/press/press-release-stagwell-media-llc-acquires-select-mobile-research-assets-nielsen-launches-harrisx/

[coti]

40. STOP KICKING BULLSHIT POLLS nt

[maxrandb]

41. The Russians and the Right Wingnuts used BS "concern" polls to

manipulate voters in 2016 too. Not surprised to see it starting in 2018.

But you're right...Donnie Shit for Brains does take the air out of the room, much like a fart.