Danny O'Connor Closing in On Troy Balderson in Preview of Ohio CD 12

[brooklynite]

Public Policy Polling:

A new survey by Public Policy Polling finds that Democratic candidate Danny O’Connor is closing in on Republican Troy Balderson in a preview of the upcoming special election in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District. Results of the matchup initially show Balderson leading O’Connor, 48-44, but after learning about O’Connor’s refusal to take contributions from corporate special interests groups and Balderson’s acceptance of these contributions, the gap between Danny O’Connor and Troy Balderson tightened to a 1-point margin, 47-48. Among Ohio CD 12 constituents who say they are certain to vote, O’Connor leads Balderson in the initial head-to-head, 47-46. O’Connor retains and expands this lead among Ohioans who are certain to vote in the informed matchup, receiving 49% of the vote compared to 46% who support Balderson

[NewJeffCT]

1. wow, stunning that it is this close

Republicans won the race by nearly 40 points in 2016 and 2014, and 27 points in 2012.

[RandySF]

2. So Danny is a polling error away from winning.

[bearsfootball516]

3. Same as Doug Jones.

Was polling about 2 points behind Roy Moore the day before the election and ended up winning by 2.

[ChoppinBroccoli]

4. The Ads Being Run On TV Here Are Despicable

And they really prove that the Republicans have NOTHING other than scare tactics. The latest attack ads call O'Connor "Dishonest Danny O'Connor," and essentially just shout the name Nancy Pelosi over and over again. "Dishonest Danny O'Connor would vote for NANCY PELOSI to be the Speaker of the House!!! (Insert sound of woman screaming)." "Dishonest Danny O'Connor wants OPEN BORDERS!!!" "Dishonest Danny O'Connor wants to RAISE YOUR TAXES!!!" You know, the standard crap Republicans spew just in general when they've got nothing else.

The thing of it is, this district is heavily gerrymandered and has a LOT of racist hillbilly types living in it (which is why Pat Tiberi held that district for so long). The fact that O'Connor is even remotely close speaks to how real the blue wave actually is.

[brooklynite]

5. Conor Lamb's opponents tried the Pelosi attack as we...

...doesn't seem to have the same clout as it used to.

[bearsfootball516]

6. Republican voters don't see her as the same threat they saw with Obama and Hillary

The Republican noise machine was very good at making Obama and Hillary out to be boogymen that drove conservatives to the polls. Pelosi hasn't had the same impact.

[irisblue]

7. The Dispatch endorses Danny O'Connor. That paper is historically Republican, this is a big deal.

"The Dispatch endorses Democrat and Franklin County Recorder Danny O'Connor over Troy Balderson, a Republican state representative from Zanesville, because we believe O'Connor will help provide a desperately needed check on President Donald Trump's destructive impulses."


http://www.dispatch.com/opinion/20180731/editorial-next-weeks-election-for-12th-district-is-truly-special?template=ampart&__twitter_impression=true

More at article

[irisblue]

8. Danny O'Connor tweet

WOSU News (@wosunews) Tweeted:
Though he's taken flack from Republicans for saying he could support Pelosi, @dannyoconnor1 says no voter has asked him about his Speaker pick. https://t.co/nz4bPkMxcC

Link to tweet