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babylonsister

(171,079 posts)
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 07:24 AM Aug 2018

Manafort juror says 'one holdout' kept jury from convicting on all counts


August 22, 2018 / 11:53 PM / Updated 6 hours ago
Manafort juror says 'one holdout' kept jury from convicting on all counts
Reuters Staff


(Reuters) - The jury in the trial of Paul Manafort would have convicted the former Trump campaign chairman on all 18 criminal charges if not for one juror who had questions about the reasonable doubt standard of guilt, a juror told Fox News on Wednesday.

“There was one holdout,” the juror in the trial, Paula Duncan, said in an interview.

“We all tried to convince her to look at the paper trail. We laid it out in front of her again and again and she still said that she had a reasonable doubt.”


The jury on Tuesday found Manafort guilty on two counts of bank fraud, five counts of tax fraud and one charge of failing to disclose foreign bank accounts, giving Special Counsel Robert Mueller a victory in the first trial arising from his investigation of Russia’s role in the 2016 U.S. election.

But the jury of six men and six women could not reach a consensus on 10 other counts. Judge T.S. Ellis, who oversaw the three-week trial in a U.S. federal court in Alexandria, Virginia, declared a mistrial on those 10 counts.

In the first public comments by a juror in the case, Duncan said that 11 members of the jury were in agreement that Manafort was guilty on all 18 felony charges but that they could not get the one holdout to change her mind after nearly four days of deliberations.

“We didn’t want it to be hung so we tried for an extended period of time to convince her. But in the end she held out and that’s why we have 10 counts that did not get a verdict,” she said.


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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia-manafort-juror/manafort-juror-says-one-holdout-kept-jury-from-convicting-on-all-counts-idUSKCN1L80AA?utm_campaign=trueAnthem%3A+Trending+Content&utm_content=5b7e453204d30167fbf5adb0&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=facebook
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Manafort juror says 'one holdout' kept jury from convicting on all counts (Original Post) babylonsister Aug 2018 OP
Not surprised at this. honest.abe Aug 2018 #1
I would not be too quick to criticize the juror or jury Sherman A1 Aug 2018 #6
Not criticizing the jury at all.. just that one particular juror. honest.abe Aug 2018 #11
The juror had a reasonable doubt Sherman A1 Aug 2018 #12
Well if 11 people agreed the evidence was clear and she was only one with doubts.. honest.abe Aug 2018 #14
Perhaps you are right Sherman A1 Aug 2018 #16
Perhaps.. honest.abe Aug 2018 #19
One of the legal commentators on MSNBC said that jury hung on the counts MaryMagdaline Aug 2018 #22
That is fascinating. joshcryer Aug 2018 #50
Reasonable doubt is supposed to be an objective standard, not subjective. RedSpartan Aug 2018 #43
Yes, and I suppose that is why the jury requested the judge to define "reasonable doubt". honest.abe Aug 2018 #48
You have never had jury duty have you? trixie2 Aug 2018 #55
I have. Yes, most are serious. Some are biased. honest.abe Aug 2018 #58
"she did what she believed to be best and the right thing" Ferrets are Cool Aug 2018 #21
I suspect that we will simply Sherman A1 Aug 2018 #23
Agree MaryMagdaline Aug 2018 #52
Imagine that, a Trump supporter wasn't reasonable. dem4decades Aug 2018 #2
I wouldn't jump to that conclusion DeminPennswoods Aug 2018 #3
"I did not want Paul Manafort to be guilty. But he was and no one is above the law." kentuck Aug 2018 #4
That comment struck me as very bad news for the GOP DeminPennswoods Aug 2018 #7
Well, that plus one other minor detail... Miles Archer Aug 2018 #9
Only if they were contacted by someone from the Manafort or Trump camp before the jury.... kentuck Aug 2018 #26
This message was self-deleted by its author Zadate Aug 2018 #20
Most hung juries are one or two holdouts Lee-Lee Aug 2018 #5
Interesting how some people can't seem to put their spooky3 Aug 2018 #33
That's a common personality trait among conservatives. BlancheSplanchnik Aug 2018 #45
Everyone's worldview comes from their lived experiences Lee-Lee Aug 2018 #46
It's true, but people vary in their abilities to set aside biases. spooky3 Aug 2018 #51
This scenario was easy to imagine. kentuck Aug 2018 #8
Somebody gets it here GusBob Aug 2018 #17
IOKIYAAR! 🤫 GWC58 Aug 2018 #30
The jury vote was 206 to 10. Bernardo de La Paz Aug 2018 #10
Bet that interviewed juror is going to vote for trump again in 2020 nt maryellen99 Aug 2018 #13
Not Paula Duncan, you mean the lady she talked about? Nt Mc Mike Aug 2018 #18
Yes I meant Paula Duncan nt maryellen99 Aug 2018 #24
Her and the other 10 wanted to convict tRump's campaign manager. Nt Mc Mike Aug 2018 #29
Yes, but did you see the clip? She still is a Trump spooky3 Aug 2018 #34
I see. Don't have access to the vid. Maybe Paula is one of tRump's hardcore. Thanks, Nt Mc Mike Aug 2018 #36
It's in another thread here at DU. Here it is: spooky3 Aug 2018 #37
Thanks, spooky. Nt Mc Mike Aug 2018 #38
Here's video jayschool2013 Aug 2018 #15
I suspect the defense knew about this juror Loubee Aug 2018 #25
IIRC orangecrush Aug 2018 #27
I said all along it would be hard to get an impartial jury. blueinredohio Aug 2018 #28
To have 12 individuals capable of putting their individual biases aside NoMoreRepugs Aug 2018 #31
The problem with the judicial use of "reasonable doubt" is that randr Aug 2018 #32
That's scary as hell! lunatica Aug 2018 #42
Looks like the odds of convicting Manafort on the 10 counts in a retrial are good. Kaleva Aug 2018 #35
Doubt he'll be retried DeminPennswoods Aug 2018 #44
Yes, as he's going to prison for 8 counts, the Feds probably won't bother retrying him. Kaleva Aug 2018 #47
But, if need be, they still have a retrial in their hip pocket DeminPennswoods Aug 2018 #56
watch for her on the list of White House new-hires . . . DrDan Aug 2018 #39
one of his deplorables heaven05 Aug 2018 #40
An uber conservative or Trumper, no doubt. Woo hoo! If they retry, they will probably get a guilty Honeycombe8 Aug 2018 #41
Wonder if that single juror originally held out on all 18 counts triron Aug 2018 #49
That would be good to know. I would guess not, though. Honeycombe8 Aug 2018 #54
No way. Couldn't be true. -45 said it was due to weak case Laura PourMeADrink Aug 2018 #53
That should give prosecutors confidence to bring the 10 charges back again if they decide Vinca Aug 2018 #57

honest.abe

(8,680 posts)
1. Not surprised at this.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 07:28 AM
Aug 2018

Last edited Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:21 AM - Edit history (1)

Thats all it takes is one bad juror. Which is why the Mueller team had so many counts to get better odds of getting some guilty convictions.

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
6. I would not be too quick to criticize the juror or jury
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 07:57 AM
Aug 2018

He was convicted on 8 counts and if I was not convinced of the information presented to me I too would not have voted to convict. Jury service is not particularly easy or enjoyable. I believe that this group did not only their service to the community, but a service to us all and the judicial system. Would I have preferred to see an across the board conviction, certainly, but I was not in the room or sat on the panel.

honest.abe

(8,680 posts)
11. Not criticizing the jury at all.. just that one particular juror.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:20 AM
Aug 2018

Based on this..

"We all tried to convince her to look at the paper trail. We laid it out in front of her again and again and she still said that she had a reasonable doubt.”

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
12. The juror had a reasonable doubt
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:28 AM
Aug 2018

if she indeed did have such a reasonable doubt then she did what she believed to be best and I believe to be the right thing. That is how it is supposed to work. As any human construct the jury system is an imperfect one, I can only accept that given the information available to her at the time she did what she thought best as any of us would hopefully do.

honest.abe

(8,680 posts)
14. Well if 11 people agreed the evidence was clear and she was only one with doubts..
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:31 AM
Aug 2018

then I suspect she was mistaken and was motivated by other issues besides reasonable doubt.

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
16. Perhaps you are right
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:35 AM
Aug 2018

and perhaps not, but neither of us being in the room or in the shoes of that juror will really ever know. I can only believe that they all did the best they could given the information available to them at the time.

MaryMagdaline

(6,855 posts)
22. One of the legal commentators on MSNBC said that jury hung on the counts
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:39 AM
Aug 2018

involving Gates. The commentator (one of the best I saw on Tuesday night) had the most intelligent things to say and then they cut to the reporter who has been at everything, but frankly, is pretty dull and only states the obvious. Anyway, the legal commentator said she thought the jury(ors) had a problem with the fact that Gates was walking and that the feds might want to reconsider how they sell their case to the jury on the retrial.

Would have like more analysis on this point.

joshcryer

(62,276 posts)
50. That is fascinating.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 12:52 PM
Aug 2018

If that juror was intentionally hanging the jury on those charges so a better case could be made for it.

RedSpartan

(1,693 posts)
43. Reasonable doubt is supposed to be an objective standard, not subjective.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 10:10 AM
Aug 2018

It seems that it is very difficult to get jurors to understand that.

honest.abe

(8,680 posts)
48. Yes, and I suppose that is why the jury requested the judge to define "reasonable doubt".
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 11:31 AM
Aug 2018

But even with the explanation it seems that juror didn't get it.

trixie2

(905 posts)
55. You have never had jury duty have you?
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 02:38 PM
Aug 2018

If you did you would know what it feels like and how seriously most jurors are.

Ferrets are Cool

(21,108 posts)
21. "she did what she believed to be best and the right thing"
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:39 AM
Aug 2018

The SAME FUCKING REASONING they use for voting for and supporting the fucking chit stain tRump.

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
23. I suspect that we will simply
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:47 AM
Aug 2018

have to agree to disagree.

Neither of us were in the jury room so we really don't know.

As to who people choose to vote for or against, it is up to the candidates for any office to make their case and it is up to the individual voter to accept or reject that case.

MaryMagdaline

(6,855 posts)
52. Agree
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 01:04 PM
Aug 2018

I think Manafort is a mass murderer and has absolutely no redeeming qualities. He is not even good to his family. Nevertheless, if I thought the evidence did not amount to a guilty verdict on a specific charge, I would not convict. The juror who is so pro-Trump knew she was hurting her guy (Trump) but did not ignore the evidence. Good for her.

Having said that, and her jury service being over with, I can now say that she has returned to being a worthless Trumpster.

DeminPennswoods

(15,289 posts)
3. I wouldn't jump to that conclusion
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 07:50 AM
Aug 2018

TBH, the bank fraud conspiracy charges were probably the weakest part of the gov't's case. The loan from FSB was egregious, but the fraud seemed more on Calk's part than Manafort's. If it's possible, Calk's actions were worse than Manafort's.

The failure to report foreign bank accounts was puzzling, but the defense atty raised a question about less than 50% ownership. Dan Goldman talked about that in one of his MSNBC appearances and said it was an easy answer because Manafort's wife owned the balance and they filed a joint tax return, so the accounts had to be reported regardless. The prosecutors, apparently, didn't point that out to the jury nor, apparently, did any juror think of that argument.

Then there's this from the article.

Duncan said she was a Trump supporter and wanted to believe that Manafort was innocent. She noted that even his critics had described him as a brilliant political consultant and that Trump had trusted him with overseeing his campaign.

“I did not want Paul Manafort to be guilty. But he was and no one is above the law.”

Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
9. Well, that plus one other minor detail...
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:10 AM
Aug 2018

....this case had 400+ pieces of evidence, and the upcoming trial has 1000+.

Paulie may have dodged 300+ years in sentencing with the current trial, but he's not out of the woods yet.

There's also a piece on Politico (https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/23/trump-scandals-midterm-elections-794072) in which GOP Strategists are fretting over the fact that "Soccer Moms" are getting sick of the Trump sideshow. So it still comes down to the Blue Wave in November. That's when the bad news will get really bad.

Trump and his entire family are in the crosshairs with the "Trump Foundation" investigations.

Cohen is giving every indication that he's singing like a little birdie.

Bad news everywhere.

Oh well.

kentuck

(111,106 posts)
26. Only if they were contacted by someone from the Manafort or Trump camp before the jury....
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:59 AM
Aug 2018

...or if they heard the comments about Manafort that were made by Trump during the trial, where he called him a "good man" and how sad it was what they were doing to our country...

(response to self-deleted post below)

Response to DeminPennswoods (Reply #3)

 

Lee-Lee

(6,324 posts)
5. Most hung juries are one or two holdouts
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 07:57 AM
Aug 2018

That’s not unusual at all.

A good friend of mine was on a civil jury for a malpractice case where they had a guy who was like that. Everyone else was in total agreement that the defendant, the doctor, wasn’t negligent because the patient had ignored the doctors instructions and did things like kept smoking, refused to attend any physical therapy ordered, refused to change diet or exercise, only went to one follow up appointment instead of the twice monthly ones needed, etc.

But the one juror had a chip on his shoulder about doctors. He kept insisting the doctor needed to be “told” that he needed to be better and given a “punishment”. He couldn’t exactly say why. That juror took no notes, would reference testimony that he was sure he heard that never happened, didn’t care what the experts said because “they were other doctors who just cover for each other”, etc. eventually they had to come to a compromise with that one lone juror and they found the doctor negligent on only one of the counts, awarded the damages but then the jury reduced the liability for damages based on the plaintiffs own actions and took the damages awarded down to $1.

Because it was that or a mistrial after a 6 week trial. Because one guy was a holdout and by all accounts he was never going to change his mind no matter what the facts.

All it takes is one person on that jury who has had bad experiences with banks, the IRS or anyone else involved for them to have a jaded mindset that will lead them to see things very differently.

BlancheSplanchnik

(20,219 posts)
45. That's a common personality trait among conservatives.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 10:36 AM
Aug 2018

I read an interesting study about the personality comparisons between liberals and conservatives. I don’t have the link, but it could probably be found with the googlator.

 

Lee-Lee

(6,324 posts)
46. Everyone's worldview comes from their lived experiences
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 10:52 AM
Aug 2018

If you had a case that involved racial discrimination or a use of force by a white cop against a black citizen you might find the same thing if one juror had been the victim of discrimination of a similar nature in the past.

At the same time if one person felt they had been unfairly accused of racial bias they may hold out another way.

spooky3

(34,462 posts)
51. It's true, but people vary in their abilities to set aside biases.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 12:56 PM
Aug 2018

That's one of the reasons why the attorneys try, during voir dire, to figure out who these people are, or who might have had experiences that are very hard to put aside.

kentuck

(111,106 posts)
8. This scenario was easy to imagine.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 07:58 AM
Aug 2018

Considering the divided condition in this country. Trump has played these divisions masterfully.

GusBob

(7,286 posts)
17. Somebody gets it here
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:37 AM
Aug 2018

This is the pathology that is Trumpism. If you or I had defrauded banks, we would be in jail. Millionaires get away with the crimes they commit

Bernardo de La Paz

(49,027 posts)
10. The jury vote was 206 to 10.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:11 AM
Aug 2018

8 x 12 + 10 x 11 = 206

Holdout voted no on 10 counts.

206 out of 216 is a fine score for prosecution. They should try again on the ten counts, perhaps after dust has settled (potential pardons, exits, etc.).


spooky3

(34,462 posts)
34. Yes, but did you see the clip? She still is a Trump
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 09:23 AM
Aug 2018

supporter. But she did the right thing as a juror.

Loubee

(165 posts)
25. I suspect the defense knew about this juror
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 08:53 AM
Aug 2018

and, based on their demeanor during deliberations, were counting on her to hang the proceedings.

blueinredohio

(6,797 posts)
28. I said all along it would be hard to get an impartial jury.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 09:03 AM
Aug 2018

It was too widely publicized and most people either thought he was guilty or not.

NoMoreRepugs

(9,449 posts)
31. To have 12 individuals capable of putting their individual biases aside
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 09:16 AM
Aug 2018

and understand voluminous hardcopy evidence and believe the testimony of a cooperative witness himself guilty of crimes in divided America is, when I think about, not something easily achieved.

randr

(12,413 posts)
32. The problem with the judicial use of "reasonable doubt" is that
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 09:20 AM
Aug 2018

reason left town a while back. Along with truth it was last seen heading into the sunset.

Kaleva

(36,320 posts)
35. Looks like the odds of convicting Manafort on the 10 counts in a retrial are good.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 09:24 AM
Aug 2018

If it was just one juror who held out on all ten counts.

DeminPennswoods

(15,289 posts)
44. Doubt he'll be retried
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 10:26 AM
Aug 2018

Prosecutors got convictions on every group of charges except the bank fraud conspiracy. They really don't need convictions on the other 10 charges to get the kind of sentence for Manafort they want.

DeminPennswoods

(15,289 posts)
56. But, if need be, they still have a retrial in their hip pocket
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 02:40 PM
Aug 2018

It's something they can let Manafort know. They were only 1 recalcitrant juror away from a clean sweep. I'm sure the prosecutors learned something from what the jury said post-trial and won't make the same mistakes again should they decide to re-try the 10 other charges.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
41. An uber conservative or Trumper, no doubt. Woo hoo! If they retry, they will probably get a guilty
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 09:53 AM
Aug 2018

verdict on those remaining charges.

But they probably won't retry, since he's guilty on the other 8 and has another trial in NY.

triron

(22,008 posts)
49. Wonder if that single juror originally held out on all 18 counts
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 12:43 PM
Aug 2018

but was pressured by others to change verdict on the 8 counts.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
54. That would be good to know. I would guess not, though.
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 02:36 PM
Aug 2018

Someone who is that determined on 10 counts...the evidence was probably so strong (as in "do you recognize that this table we're sitting at exists?&quot that s/he couldn't deny it.

Looks like we may find out the nitty gritty in time.

Vinca

(50,299 posts)
57. That should give prosecutors confidence to bring the 10 charges back again if they decide
Thu Aug 23, 2018, 02:41 PM
Aug 2018

that's the best thing to do. I guess it all hinges on Dear Leader and his pardon power. If Manafort is going to get a pardon on everything anyway (a very dumb move by Trump), it would be a waste of money to bring the 10 charges again. Wonder how many charges are waiting in the wings at the state level just in case.

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