Poll: Republican enthusiasm up 12 points for Nov. elections.

[Cattledog]

Morning Joe

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_1810021305.pdf#page=3

[PCIntern]

1. That's the watchword of the RW Faith..

Designed to make us despondent.

[Hortensis]

23. :) It fails to overcome 100,000 churches opposing the nomination.

That has me smiling. The more than 100,000 churches represented by the National Council of Churches belong to 38 Christian faith groups, including evangelical, and are attended by 40 million Americans. Every little bit helps.

[Meadowoak]

2. GOTV!

[standingtall]

3. And yet we keep seeing senate seats that lean republican moved to tossup

and house seats that are tossups move to lean Dem and seats that lean Dem to safe Dem. I wouldn't put to much stock in this one poll. Republicans probably are getting a little bit more enthusiastic because we are getting closer to the election that just the natural order of things, but not anything that should freak us out.

[LBM20]

4. Dem enthusiasm ALREADY VERY HIGH! GOP will be PUNISHED in November.

[Roland99]

5. He's at his highest approval since taking office according to that poll

Seems an outlier to me

[uponit7771]

7. +1, ticks me off every time the media tries to make a trend out of one poll

[uponit7771]

8. Also the poll is a national pole and not a likely or registered voter poll

Whereas most polls by now have switch to likely voting polling models

[Atman]

18. Highest, but still negative.

I keep seeing this angle: Trump Approval Rating Goes Up, yet his negatives and disapproval remain in the 50s. This is nothing but the “liberal media” trying hard to once again have a horse race. I guarantee they’ll say it a 50-50 race by the beginning of November. EVERY race since the Bush theft, and the elimination of network exit polling, has been a toss-up right up until Election Day.

[FSogol]

6. Ignore the morning joe ratfuckery and GOTV

[Timmygoat]

9. I am beginning to feel desperate

What have we heard from Chuck Schumer? Does he ever open his mouth? If the dems do not begin to fight harder and we lose the house I will give up, I will never give another dime to politicians. I hope Flake does not let us down, also the senator from Alaska.
Susan Collins is so wishey washey she cabbot be counted on.

[BumRushDaShow]

13. Um what?

What have we heard from Chuck Schumer?

What can Schumer do when he is the MINORITY Leader? He doesn't control the schedule. Fucking people sat home in 2014 and ran away from Obama (including here on DU with rampant ODS) and we lost the Senate. Alison Grimes ran away from Obama in KY and lost to Turtle.

You need to watch CSPAN2 and look at his twitter feed.

[FSogol]

17. Don't buy into RW narratives. They want you to be discouraged so you don't show up to vote.

AAR, what is the minority leader supposed to do?

[bdamomma]

24. That is what the

repigs want to do to discourage us, it should just fuel us more to stop these POS's.

Propaganda repig style.

[DeminPennswoods]

10. This is what you won't hear

Party ID shows Republicans behind both Dems and Independents.

Indys lead at 34%
Dems at 33%
GOP at 31%

The Republicans might be getting more enthusiastic, but there are fewer of them now. Trump is heavily underwater with Dems and 14 pts under among Indys.

[phylny]

11. Yes! You bring up a great point.

There are fewer and fewer of them. GOTV!

[DeminPennswoods]

20. Cornell Belcher made this same point

a few weeks ago on, iirc, Hardball.

[standingtall]

12. Also looks to me like they may have over sampled the south

South 38%
West 23%
Midwest 21%
Northeast 18%

The south is the republican base so if this poll were more evenly spread across the regions Democrats and independents would have an even bigger spread over republicans.

[BumRushDaShow]

14. Good info!

[DeminPennswoods]

19. Marist's methodology says they used the latest ACS

(American Community Survey) data to determine how many people to poll in what areas.

Did they define the states that comstituted each region? I just skimmed the methodology memo.

[ProfessorGAC]

15. Ridiculous

A false parameter. They were all going to vote and vote R. The whole idea of "enthusiasm" is silly for that voting bloc.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

16. The sky is falling

[Greybnk48]

21. Bullshit. n/t

[bigtree]

22. it's among a shrinking base of republican voters

...circling their little band of wagons.