Could it be 50 - 50 and and make Pence do the dirty deed?

[GreatCaesarsGhost]

Absolves any one Senator from being the one vote who put Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court.

[SaschaHM]

1. Eh, I think it either falls 49-51 or confirms 51-49.

Manchin won't be the deciding vote, but he will vote yay if it's a done deal.

[PearliePoo2]

2. Absolutely it could. And Pentecostal Pence will get a knubby in his knickers doing so. nt.

[scheming daemons]

3. Likely not.

Because that would mean that all four undecided Senators are therefore "to blame".

There is no way in hell that any of them... especially Manchin.... wants to be #50 in a 50-50.

I think it will be one of these three situations:

60% chance
Murkowski NO
Collins/Flake/Manchin YES
51-49 YES

20% chance
Murkowski NO
Collins YES
Flake/Manchin NO
49-51

15% chance
All Four NO
48-52

4% chance
All four YES
52-48

1% chance
50-50

[mobeau69]

5. Unfortunately, I'd have to go with 60%

[joshcryer]

6. I concur with your assessment.

Unfortunately.

[mobeau69]

4. I'd rather see 51 - 49 than see that ass hole.

[mainstreetonce]

7. I said this yesterday and I got criticized here.

If the probability comes down to 50/50.......I thnk aRepublican ( probably Flake) will spare Pence from being the decider.

Pence would go down in history as the most anti woman politician ever.

I think if it comes to that Flake would spare Pence.


Flake gets his McCain moment. Pence is not involved.