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General Discussion

gabeana

(3,166 posts) Tue Oct 16, 2018, 03:30 PM Oct 2018

What constitutes a likely voter?

what makes some a likely voter in a polling definition?

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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What constitutes a likely voter? (Original Post) gabeana Oct 2018 OP

This might help. WeekiWater Oct 2018 #1

Someone who has registered to vote. Sneederbunk Oct 2018 #2

It looks like the Gallop model is fairly complex (link above). CaptainTruth Oct 2018 #3

That is why gabeana Oct 2018 #4

WeekiWater

(3,259 posts)

1. This might help.

Reply to gabeana (Original post)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 03:31 PM

Oct 2018

https://news.gallup.com/poll/110287/what-difference-between-registered-voters-likely-voters.aspx

Sneederbunk

(14,297 posts)

2. Someone who has registered to vote.

Reply to gabeana (Original post)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 03:35 PM

Oct 2018

CaptainTruth

(6,598 posts)

3. It looks like the Gallop model is fairly complex (link above).

Reply to gabeana (Original post)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 04:23 PM

Oct 2018

I saw another pollster (I forget which one) say they define a likely voter as someone who voted in the last two elections.

One problem with that is it excludes all newly-registered voters.

gabeana

(3,166 posts)

4. That is why

Reply to CaptainTruth (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 16, 2018, 09:01 PM

Oct 2018

I"d also like to see registered voter results

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