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woolldog

(8,791 posts) Tue Aug 14, 2012, 02:28 PM Aug 2012

Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls?

Gallup has Romney +2

Rasmussen has Romney +3

Now why are the tracking polls so different from the national polls that have been coming out over the past week or so? Can anyone think of a good explanation?

4 replies

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Highlight:

Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls? (Original Post) woolldog Aug 2012 OP

Fear and accounting for voter supression. gordianot Aug 2012 #1

Rasmussen is tightening BeyondGeography Aug 2012 #2

Just look at the state-by-state polls - www.electoral-vote.com is a good site. reformist2 Aug 2012 #3

A few things OmahaBlueDog Aug 2012 #4

gordianot

(15,247 posts)

1. Fear and accounting for voter supression.

Reply to woolldog (Original post)

Tue Aug 14, 2012, 02:37 PM

Aug 2012

BeyondGeography

(39,385 posts)

2. Rasmussen is tightening

Reply to woolldog (Original post)

Tue Aug 14, 2012, 02:38 PM

Aug 2012

Obama must have a sizable lead...

reformist2

(9,841 posts)

3. Just look at the state-by-state polls - www.electoral-vote.com is a good site.

Reply to woolldog (Original post)

Tue Aug 14, 2012, 02:39 PM

Aug 2012

OmahaBlueDog

(10,000 posts)

4. A few things

Reply to woolldog (Original post)

Tue Aug 14, 2012, 02:43 PM

Aug 2012

1) The tax release thing has faded from people's attention over the past week or so. It will be back.

2) Some of these samples are probably taken after the Olympic gaffes had left the news cycle.

3) Gas is trending up, which always hurts whoever is President

4) Ras and Gallup always trend a point or two to the right (politically). It has a lot to do with sampling methodology.

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