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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums538 - Nate Silver has just predicted a 94% chance of Dems taking the House.
Estimated pickup - 43 seats.
Prediction posted at 7:40 pm ET.
UPDATE: It's now at 95%. Also: no change in the Senate.
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538 - Nate Silver has just predicted a 94% chance of Dems taking the House. (Original Post)
kstewart33
Nov 2018
OP
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)1. Yessssss!!!
octoberlib
(14,971 posts)2. Holy shit!!!!
johnnyrocket
(1,773 posts)3. Not good enough, waiting for 100%.
appal_jack
(3,813 posts)14. Yes: not counting chickens until they hatch...
Keep voting, western Dems!
-app
llmart
(15,540 posts)4. Be still my heart!!!
42 pickups would be wonderful!!!
OhZone
(3,212 posts)5. Coolness
Oh Yeah!
berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)6. Woohoo!
spooky3
(34,454 posts)7. Wowww! Thx. nt
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)8. Make it 95%
Now let's hold onto the two Florida statewide races
sweetloukillbot
(11,023 posts)9. Senate chances are inching up too
Still pretty narrow, but they've moved up a couple percentage points...
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)10. Dems running strong so far!!
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)11. Now down to 91.7% and senate down to 12%
Just win Florida baby
Stallion
(6,474 posts)12. Remember You Can't See Most of the Blue Wave Until It Breaks
Buns_of_Fire
(17,178 posts)13. Meanwhile, Comrade Fishlips is wolfing down his eighth Big Mac.
Would you like some more gravy on that, dear?
krawhitham
(4,644 posts)15. 81.1%
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)16. It's dropping a lot. :( This is bad news.
budkin
(6,703 posts)17. No it isn't
Chill out.
Joe941
(2,848 posts)18. This is going to be a great night. +50 in the house!
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)19. Bad shifts all over the place
538 now down to 75.6%
Gad. I didn't think this would happen, once we busted above 90%
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)20. This has a familiar, sickening feeling.... NT