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Baitball Blogger

(46,715 posts)
6. Thank you.
Wed Nov 7, 2018, 09:52 AM
Nov 2018

So we are likely to win nine more, putting us at the 35 number.

More likely to investigate with those numbers.

Zing Zing Zingbah

(6,496 posts)
4. There's a close house race in Maine still - first federal election ranked choice race
Wed Nov 7, 2018, 09:51 AM
Nov 2018

Probably won't know the results for days.

Amishman

(5,557 posts)
12. Nate Silver's 538 standard model median projection
Wed Nov 7, 2018, 10:15 AM
Nov 2018

Linking from my phone is a pain but you can find it easy enough

FM123

(10,053 posts)
8. Looking at the chart, I believe there were only two seats the repubs flipped : MN 8 and PA 14
Wed Nov 7, 2018, 10:07 AM
Nov 2018

What really thrilled me were the unexpected red seats we took away from them that they never saw coming: OK 5, NY 11, SC 1

I am so glad we took the House, because here in Florida we are sickened that we lost the chance to have a really amazing governor!

Baitball Blogger

(46,715 posts)
9. Look, I'm from Florida and I really shouldn't be so surprised about losing.
Wed Nov 7, 2018, 10:13 AM
Nov 2018

Do you know how hard it is to network with other progressives in this state? Conservatives do not have the same problem. They have very established subcultures to vet people and find their own tribes. What do we have? Nothing. There are three Liberal leaders in Central Florida, that called themselves Liberal. Two are attorneys, and if either of them tried to bring us together I wouldn't be a part of it because I don't trust either of them. And the third was a crooked person who knew how to use the backwater networks through the business organizations.

Gillum was a light in the darkness. I hope he tries to bring minorities in this state together to help us organize for 2020.

BumRushDaShow

(129,035 posts)
15. PA-14 wasn't really a net "flip"
Wed Nov 7, 2018, 10:30 AM
Nov 2018

When the congressional districts were redrawn here, the seat that Conor Lamb ran for and won (the old PA-18) was redrawn so he ran for the new PA-17 instead (which included some of what was the old PA-12). The old PA-14 was Allegheny County (including Pittsburgh).

So the new PA-14 is actually in the area of the old PA-18, which had been in GOP territory -

OLD MAP (old PA-14 is now the new PA-18) -



NEW MAP (old PA-18 is now new PA-14) -



So it is disingenuous for this to be considered a "flip" (which the NYT is doing) when the overall "flip" happened in the March special election and the (D) pickup at that time carried over into the general election (albeit under a newly re-numbered district).

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