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AZ-SEN: That's it, I'm calling it for Sinema (Original Post)
RandySF
Nov 2018
OP
Yes its finished. You can't close the gap when you fall farther behind every day
grantcart
Nov 2018
#4
Olafjoy
(937 posts)1. I second the motion
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)2. Raises hand!
Hell, raises both hands and feet!
NewJeffCT
(56,829 posts)3. How is Maricopa expected to go?
is that skewing towards Sinema?
I'd be worried that if it essentially breaks even for the 198K, some of the smaller counties could go heavy McSally it could make it a lot closer.
sweetloukillbot
(11,098 posts)7. Coconino and Pima will break 60/40 for Sinema
Pinal will break about the same for McSally. Apache I believe will break for Sinema, all the others for McSally .
StevieM
(10,500 posts)8. Here is a map that shows the breakdown of the state and how people voted.
https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/results/arizona
Also, please remember that 4 of those counties have 1000 or fewer votes left. And there are 7 counties that aren't mentioned, which means they have zero or close to zero ballots still remaining to be counted.
As for the other three counties, the ones beside Maricopa, the one that has the most remaining ballots is Pima County, which is a blue county that voted for Sinema.
Sinema is winning in Maricopa, and is doing even better among mail-in/walked-in voters than she did on election day.
This is looking extremely good. It is highly unlikely that Sinema loses.
Also, please remember that 4 of those counties have 1000 or fewer votes left. And there are 7 counties that aren't mentioned, which means they have zero or close to zero ballots still remaining to be counted.
As for the other three counties, the ones beside Maricopa, the one that has the most remaining ballots is Pima County, which is a blue county that voted for Sinema.
Sinema is winning in Maricopa, and is doing even better among mail-in/walked-in voters than she did on election day.
This is looking extremely good. It is highly unlikely that Sinema loses.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)4. Yes its finished. You can't close the gap when you fall farther behind every day
There is some discussion that each day is a different kind of bundle in Maricopa County and that starting on Monday she could start gaining with those batches but its not going to be enough.
Too little too late.
And as much as I would love to say that our candidate was super great and our campaign was the best ever you just have to step back and accept the obvious:
As good and great as our candidates were across the country the really big factor was just how creepy and disgusting the other candidates are.
In Tucson college aged women just despised McSally for her attitude, her votes and her lying. We simply couldn't have done it without all of the creepy candidates that the Republicans put up.
A friend of mine said, "Yeah but that's all they got".
gademocrat7
(10,676 posts)5. Happy dance time!
StevieM
(10,500 posts)6. Just to be clear, 5:35 PM refers to Mountain Time. These numbers were given at 7:35 EST. (eom)