General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPoll predicted last elections accurately
http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2012/08/22/election-model-with-100-success-rate-predicts-romney-victory/Poll predicts a Romney win unless the economy improves. We all know the GOP will do everything in thier power to make sure there is no improvement. Is this the excuse they will use win they hack the voting machines?
Laurian
(2,593 posts)Why?
99Forever
(14,524 posts)Both were started by newbies with under 100 posts.
Make of that what you will.
cthulu2016
(10,960 posts)MrSlayer
(22,143 posts)If everyone objectively looked at what has been going in in Washington the past four years there is no way this would even be close. There is no way we would have gotten trounced in 2010.
But they don't and we're in serious trouble here. Serious trouble indeed.
CabCurious
(954 posts)Which is inherently ridiculous.
Dkc05
(375 posts)Don't panic let's just work hard to get people out to vote on election dayI I think the poll is a fraud
samsingh
(17,598 posts)2000 was definitely a Gore win. 2004 was likely stolen in Ohio
CJCRANE
(18,184 posts)They looked back and analysed the data to find the commonalities. They didn't predict anything.
You could use different data points to get a different result.
longship
(40,416 posts)This is like taking stock market data, looking for correlations and then announcing that you can predict the future stock market by the correlates.
This is a monumental statistical fallacy.
Correlation does not imply causation.
Enough with these bullshit threads.
You might as well correlate the election to the zodiac signs. I am sure their are correlations with the numerological elements of the year number.