Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Cyrano

(15,043 posts)
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 03:31 PM Jun 2019

MSNBC's Steve Kornacki is why I can't and don't watch polls

I just can't get it out of my head.

Back in 2016, Steve Kornacki was constantly in front of that moving board that he swished with his hand to show us why it was impossible for Donald Trump to win.

Yeah, I know, everyone else was also wrong.

But Steve, with that swishing fucking board, explained to us in detail how there was virtually no route for a Trump victory. And we believed him. And on election night, there were probably a record number of heart attacks and strokes throughout the sane world.

And before this last midterm election, the board was back. You think he would have burned the fucking thing.

So screw all the polls, the rigged ones, and the ones that think they have it right.

But there is one exception. The Quinniapac poll, put out by a small university in Connecticut, seems to be the closest to reality most of the time.

With that one exception, screw all the rest of the polls. I take them as seriously as a Ouija board.

32 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
MSNBC's Steve Kornacki is why I can't and don't watch polls (Original Post) Cyrano Jun 2019 OP
You said swished and swishing...uh oh...prepare for incoming. Funtatlaguy Jun 2019 #1
I have/had no idea about his orientation. And don't care. Cyrano Jun 2019 #6
He's doing you a favor, don't watch any of the bullshit. dem4decades Jun 2019 #2
why do I dislike Steve Kornacki?... hlthe2b Jun 2019 #3
The Polls and Cable "News" Sherman A1 Jun 2019 #4
You get what you paid for Wellstone ruled Jun 2019 #13
My thought exactly. The MSM works hard to create the horse race redstateblues Jun 2019 #24
He wasn't the one who cheated Hillary FakeNoose Jun 2019 #5
He wasn't the one who cheated Hillary. LenaBaby61 Jun 2019 #31
He makes me nervous MFM008 Jun 2019 #7
I lunge for the remote the minute MontanaMama Jun 2019 #8
If Kornacki had said trump could win, he would have also been crucified. Hoyt Jun 2019 #9
People don't understand percents! Nt USALiberal Jun 2019 #10
Everyone else wasn't wrong. TwilightZone Jun 2019 #11
Yeah, I think the last minute shift was due to the near perfect timing of the Comey letter. honest.abe Jun 2019 #16
Agreed. TwilightZone Jun 2019 #18
So true ... LenaBaby61 Jun 2019 #30
I can't stand him, his voice, his khaki pants or his rolled up sleeves lunatica Jun 2019 #12
He comes on and I switch to the Food Network or the Cooking Channel. comradebillyboy Jun 2019 #14
I don't like the way... Mike Nelson Jun 2019 #15
gesticulating wildly lapfog_1 Jun 2019 #28
Why do those who dislike Kornacki watch Kornacki? Sneederbunk Jun 2019 #17
Because sometimes he's on TRMS. marble falls Jun 2019 #20
How else could they obnoxiousdrunk Jun 2019 #23
I wish they'd unroll his sleeves and moderate his caffeine consumption, I don't want to see his .. marble falls Jun 2019 #19
538 is still around too... brooklynite Jun 2019 #21
Kornacki misuses the polls. Too much drama when it should be straightforward. LiberalFighter Jun 2019 #22
I turn him off when he comes on EffieBlack Jun 2019 #25
Right there with you, Cyrano. Firestorm49 Jun 2019 #26
as a art major. we are taught to judge froma distance. i observed 2016 at a distance. missteps, the pansypoo53219 Jun 2019 #27
when is the last time you or anybody that you know has been polled ? live love laugh Jun 2019 #29
I switch the channel when he is on kimbutgar Jun 2019 #32

Funtatlaguy

(10,879 posts)
1. You said swished and swishing...uh oh...prepare for incoming.
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 03:33 PM
Jun 2019

I’ve been heavily criticized here when I have mentioned that Kornacki is a Log Cain Republican.

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
4. The Polls and Cable "News"
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 03:35 PM
Jun 2019

are tied at the hip. It is about "The Horse Race" Doesn't matter who is up or who is down or sideways or made a gaff or just entered the race or just dropped out or it's rainy in Iowa or snowing in Miami. It is just all Infotainment to keep your eyes on the screen until the next ad for a drug you never knew you needed comes around.

I would turn off the Breathless 24/7 Breaking News, Cable Noise Infotainment and not look back.

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)
24. My thought exactly. The MSM works hard to create the horse race
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 04:54 PM
Jun 2019

It’s all about ratings and money. I am growing weary and I weaning myself from the Groundhog Day coverage.

FakeNoose

(32,656 posts)
5. He wasn't the one who cheated Hillary
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 03:36 PM
Jun 2019

They were ALL saying or thinking the same thing - Chump had no chance of winning. And yet, here we are getting ready for the next election. Is our election process any more secure now than it was in 2016?
Apparently not.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
31. He wasn't the one who cheated Hillary.
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 06:45 PM
Jun 2019

No he wasn't, but friends who force themselves to watch him say he does NOTHING in ever mentioning how the Russians interferred into our elections which as we see NOW COST Hillary the presicency even though she did win it. They tell me that he also never mentions how thuglicans voter-suppressed the hell out of Dems in Pa, Wis. and especially in Michigan where voter-purging was used to great advantage for thuglicans. I don't know HOW they can watch him.

MontanaMama

(23,322 posts)
8. I lunge for the remote the minute
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 03:40 PM
Jun 2019

he shows up flailing away in his blue button down shirt and brown corduroy pants. He. Is. Unwatchable.

TwilightZone

(25,472 posts)
11. Everyone else wasn't wrong.
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 03:45 PM
Jun 2019

538 had Trump with a 30% chance of winning. They also had it trending toward Trump for a while before the election.

30% and "impossible" are two very different things. Kornacki may have believed it to be impossible, but he wasn't basing that opinion on all of the available information.

Part of the problem, in this particular case, is that polls can only provide a snapshot of a particular moment in time. They're not much good if there's a last-minute or election-day shift in voter preferences.

honest.abe

(8,679 posts)
16. Yeah, I think the last minute shift was due to the near perfect timing of the Comey letter.
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 04:05 PM
Jun 2019

It was just enough time to ferment but not long enough to forget. Which made it close enough for the Russia effect and other factors (Stein, Sarandon, BOBs, etc.) to sway the election. Damn shame all the way around.

TwilightZone

(25,472 posts)
18. Agreed.
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 04:08 PM
Jun 2019

I think it was late enough in the cycle that it was almost impossible to accurately predict its impact.

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
30. So true ...
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 06:39 PM
Jun 2019

About the Russians, who are still interferring, and who knows what they'll do for an encore in the 2020 GE. That's if tRump allows there to be a General Election. I get so sick and tired of folks who don't want to speak about Russian interferrernce. They keep saying that Hillary lost to tRump beasue she was a bad candidate. What the hell was tRump, a good one? There's a whole lot of filling in I wished folks would do before they state that fact about Hillary losing to tRump which she really didn't do. She won the 2020 presicency, but it was stolen from her by tRump and his tRumpthuglicans with a huge assisbt by putin/russia.

Mike Nelson

(9,960 posts)
15. I don't like the way...
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 04:00 PM
Jun 2019

… he waves his arms around - but I wouldn't call it a "swishing". I would call it "waving".

marble falls

(57,114 posts)
19. I wish they'd unroll his sleeves and moderate his caffeine consumption, I don't want to see his ..
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 04:18 PM
Jun 2019

"wound up nerd ape" act any more. He scares me when he uses a stick.

brooklynite

(94,609 posts)
21. 538 is still around too...
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 04:22 PM
Jun 2019

If you disavow all polling, you remove a set of generally useful data points. I'll accept that they learned their lessons and are refining their analytical approach.

FWIW - the last Quinnipiac poll in 2016 had Clinton +7 over Trump.

pansypoo53219

(20,981 posts)
27. as a art major. we are taught to judge froma distance. i observed 2016 at a distance. missteps, the
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 05:26 PM
Jun 2019

gnewz wanted their golden squirrel for ratings. beware the gnewz.

live love laugh

(13,119 posts)
29. when is the last time you or anybody that you know has been polled ?
Wed Jun 5, 2019, 05:52 PM
Jun 2019

that’s the question everybody should ask them selves that’s all any of us need to know .

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»MSNBC's Steve Kornacki is...