So... what are Alan Grayson's chances, really?

[Smarmie Doofus]

Anyone following that race w. some degree of objectivity?

[Panasonic]

1. He'll beat his opponent like a red-headed stepchild

and will bring along his group of Progressive Democrats with him.

[frazzled]

2. Due to redistricting, apparently pretty good

This is from May, but it probably still obtains:

The Hill, a newspaper/Website that circulates among Washington insiders, is out today with its analysis of Florida congressional races. And Alan Grayson’s campaign was quick to note that the publication said he’s “heavily favored” to win his race for the new CD9, an east Orange/Osceola county district that’s more than 40 percent Hispanic but also includes large chunks of the existing CD8 that Grayson represented for two years before losing in 2010 to U.S. Rep. Dan Webster, R-Winter Garden.

“Redistricting in Florida created opportunities for Democrats, including a new seat in the Orlando area where former Rep. Alan Grayson (D-Fla.) is heavily favored to win,” the publication writes. “The Hill projects that Democrats will pick up between two and three seats in Florida this cycle.”

http://blogs.orlandosentinel.com/news_politics/2012/05/grayson-heavily-favored-to-win-new-cd9-d-c-publication-says.html

[leveymg]

5. There must be several Orlando, FLs. The one I visited a few years ago (not the amusement parks)

was gated communities, Expedition-driving, rock-bottom Republican. This Orlando, and I didn't like it:

[Lone_Star_Dem]

3. Last I saw he was doing really well.

Last night I read an article saying Todd Long needed the equivalent of a lottery win to beat him.

My understanding is the new distract they're running in runs mostly Dem, and Grayson has better fundraising abilities than Long. Grayson is currently polling in the lead.

[Smarmie Doofus]

7. His fundraising is like a pit-bull operation.

At least on an email level, I've never seen such tenacity. Good god he's friggin' relentless.

I thought it was a lost cause... so I figured I wouldn't ante-up. ( I have limited capital; but more than usual since I'm holding off on Obama and the national party 'til they send me a sign that there's going to be a change in fed. education policy in term 2).

But if Grayson's looking at least competitive....


There's no one I'd rather see in congress.

[jwirr]

4. That is good to hear. We need him in congress.

[monmouth]

6. My only regret as a Floridian is that I am not in his district. Wonderful man...n/t

[five_horizons]

8. Same here

Love me some Alan Grayson down here in Fort Myers.

[oldhippydude]

9. also about Florida

great to hear about Grayson... whats our chance of dumping Alan West?