2020 Senate races without a Democratic Challenger:
2020 Senate races without a Democratic Challenger:
- Bill Cassidy, Louisiana
- Mike Enzi, Wyoming (retiring)
- Cindy Hyde-Smith, Mississippi
- Jame Inhofe, Oklahoma
- Pat Roberts, Kansas (retiring)
- Mike Rounds, South Dakota
- Ben Sasse, Nebraska
- Dan Sullivan, Alaska
1:36 PM - 12 Jun 2019
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It is 53-47 Rethug now
I will go ahead and posit that Paedo Moore may well win in the Rethug primaries, so I will give us a hold with Jones (thus a Rethug flip)
So we would then need to flip FOUR seats to tack it back. There are 12 targets (Rethug held) Even if Paedo fails, and a 'normal' RWNJ Repuke beats Jones, we still just need to flip 5, and there are DEFFO 5 that are flippable, in fact I see 6 or 7. The huge problem is that in 11 of the 12 States, the best candidates we have ALL said no so far.
We are not in any danger of losing any other seats (Jeanne Shaheen in NH would be the only one that isn't a pure lock, but she should coast to victory).
All the following are vulnerable Rethugs (12, unless you, like me, see little hope for TX)
AK Dan Sullivan Mark Begich (ex Senator) can beat Sullivan, he needs to change his mind and run.
MT Steve Daines (Bullock would beat him and he needs to give up on POTUS and get in the race for Senate)
AZ Martha McSally Mark Kelly has a great shot at beating her
CO Cory Gardner, even if Hickenlooper refuses to run, we still have good candidates, Gardner should go down hard, but Hickenlooper needs to get his butt in the race.
GA David Perdue (Stacey Abrams really should go for this seat (if she is not the VP for someone) she would be our strongest, but we have a couple others who could knock out Perdue, although the 2nd best IMHO, Sally Yates, has ALSO refused to run.
IA Joni Ernst Cindy Axne was another big refusal, she would have probably beaten Ernst, who has shit approval ratings, but we have many other good candidates, although Tom Vilsack has also declined to run. Hopefully Axne changes her mind, Ernst is really vulnerable. Theresa Greenfield looks like a good candidate, but the other 2 are stronger, IMHO.
KY Mitch McConnell His approval rating is for shit, hopefully we can find a person to give this fucker a real run, there are 3 or 4 good candidates, including Andy Beshear (although he refused, and is now running for Governor), Amy McGrath (the fighter pilot, who has had a poor start, as she did the same thing Bredesen in TN fucked up on, and said she would have voted to confirm Kavanaugh, arfff, and then had to retract it when the Dems went bonkers), and a true wildcard who may run, Ashley Judd. Judd could maybe do it, I so hope she gets in, but the others have a shot too, as McConnell is going to be hated almost as much as Trump by November 2020. Beshear picked the wrong race IMHO, getting Moscow Mitch out is far more important that the Gubernatorial race IMHO.
ME Susan Collins Yet another BIG name refused to run against her (Susan Rice), but there are multiple other good candidates, like Sara Gideon. These big name turndowns are a BIG problem that really needs to be fixed.
NC Thom Tillis this one we should win IF (and same old story, 2 big names refused to run already, Anthony Foxx (BHO's Sec of Trans and Josh Stein, NC AG) we get in a great candidate. Tillis's popularity is in the toilet, he is very vulnerable, and a weak campaigner. REALLY disappoint that Foxx turned it down. He is so popular (ex Charlotte mayor and Obama's Sec of Transportation)
KS Open seat as Pat Roberts is retiring. There is one potential by far above all the rest, and she just said NO, ffs. Kathleen Sebelius. The major newspapers there are really on her to change her mind, one going so far as to say she is the only one who can win, and if she runs, WILL win..
TN Lamar Alexander (retiring) open seat, bust still we will need a great candidate (and not some old conservadem like 2018, where Phil Bredesen was a really bad candidate, Marsha Blackburn was a RWNJ who ran a shit campaign, but Bredesen was even worse.) By far the best IMHO is Tim McGraw (yes, the singer) who said year ago he would run for Senate when he was 50 (he is 52 now) and yet is now refusing, grrrr.
TX John Cornyn (the hardest of all, I do not think even Beto or Castro could beat him, as he is much more popular than Cruz, but still, maybe Beto jumps in, but I doubt it, as a big loss would end his career to a great extent) He still needs to really think this over in the next 3, 4 months. If he refuses, it looks like we will have to roll with MJ Hegar.
IF Paedo Moore wins the Rethug Alabama primary (and IF we get most ALL of those big names to reconsider, or get great replacements)..... then there are easily 5 or 6 or 7 flips that can go our way, especially if Rump loses in a landslide.
