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edhopper

(33,587 posts)
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 11:52 AM Jul 2019

I don't believe Trump's poll numbers

My hope that a number of GOPers and Conservatives are saying they support him because they are afraid low poll numbers will hurt the Republican Party and it's power. But in they end won't be able to bring themselves to vote for the POS.

My fear is others are afraid to say they support such a racist, corrupt asshole, but will secretly vote for him.

Hope vs Fear

Hope, real numbers in the low 30%.

Fear, really near 50%

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Autumn

(45,107 posts)
2. I don't either but then there are a lot of poll numbers I don't believe about our candidates either
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 11:55 AM
Jul 2019

If by some weird chance they are right I think it's all due to media manipulation.

Wounded Bear

(58,670 posts)
3. All well and good, but...
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 11:57 AM
Jul 2019

The fight of our political lives is on now.

Use this to bolster hope and all, but don't let it drift into complacency. That contributed to Trump's "win."

ScratchCat

(1,990 posts)
4. You have to keep in mind
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 12:00 PM
Jul 2019

That every "poll response" is based upon how a question was asked.

Right now, the only question that matters is "Are you going to vote for Trump in 2020 if he is the GOP candidate?" This type of poll is hard to take now because there is no challenger yet and because the media, for the most part, isn't interested in that question.

All we have to do is not give them a candidate to mobilize against.

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
7. At some point
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 12:17 PM
Jul 2019

we will have to have a nominee, and for those last few months before the election, I expect Trump and the GOP to try fully to demonize our nominee. And even in the absence of a nominee, Trump always finds targets that will engage back with him, managing to get to the top of the list every news cycle.

SCantiGOP

(13,871 posts)
5. We may get the "shy" voters this time
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 12:06 PM
Jul 2019

There were obviously thousands of voters that pulled the Trump lever in the booth as a protest since they knew that he wasn’t going to win. They may have never admitted they did so.
I’m hoping this time a bunch of the good ole boys and girls head to the polls saying “of course I wouldn’t vote for the damn Democrat,” but their lifelong moral outlook, reverence for what this country has always stood for, and basic good sense will prevent them from voting for that deranged loudmouth bully.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
6. I believe they are
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 12:11 PM
Jul 2019

lower for approval and much higher for disapproval.

Cheating is an art for the Republican party.

 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
8. You are not alone,
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 12:18 PM
Jul 2019

Someone has to pay for those polls,and in that lies the real story.

Polling is all about the crafting of the questions and what type of answer grid is used. Next is,what is your likely target base for contacts. If it is phone,which portion is Land Line vs Cell. Lastly,how are you treating dropped calls and no answer calls,are they a throw out,or are they being scored as a positive or negative.

CrispyQ

(36,478 posts)
10. My hope is that lots of moderate republicans are disgusted by his behavior
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 12:30 PM
Jul 2019

& tired of the 24x7 drama. They may say they support him in a poll or at the family picnic, but when they are in the privacy of a voting booth, I hope their honest feeling about him impacts their vote.

uponit7771

(90,347 posts)
11. 54% of Americans would DEFINITELY NOT vote for Red Don !! THAT'S the polling number we need
Tue Jul 30, 2019, 12:35 PM
Jul 2019

Remember, FAUX News gives every reThug a 10 - 20% float nationally. That's the reason why we should have kept the fairness doctrine; to keep corporate media outlets from becoming political mouthpieces.

In retrospect the polling for Red Don is horrible, should be in the 50s 60s but can't get above mid 40s for longer than a week.

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