General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsSpecial Election Results (Tonight)
Special Election Results
September 10, 2019 at 7:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments
https://politicalwire.com/2019/09/10/special-election-results-2/
"SNIP......
Polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET for the special elections in North Carolinas 9th and 3rd congressional districts.
Politico is tracking results as the come in.
.....SNIP"
I'm hyped - are you?
I will update thread.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/09/10/north-carolina-special-election-1488508
"SNIP....
Democrat Dan McCready and Republican Dan Bishop spent Election Day hunting for votes that could tip a razor-close race in Charlotte and its suburbs, home to a majority of voters in the 9th Congressional District. McCready told supporters Tuesday morning that the race is really close but that a victory would send a shock wave across this entire country.
......
There is also a special election in North Carolinas 3rd District on Tuesday, where Republican Greg Murphy and Democrat Allen Thomas are competing to succeed the late GOP Rep. Walter Jones, who died earlier this year. But that heavily Republican district has attracted far less attention and money than the Bishop-McCready race.
.....SNIP"
POLITICO UPDATES:
https://www.politico.com/election-results/2019/north-carolina/special-election/sept-10/
underpants
(182,279 posts)Thanks.
spanone
(135,636 posts)democrank
(11,052 posts)sheshe2
(83,347 posts)Will be back!
brettdale
(12,332 posts)Fingers crossed.
applegrove
(118,022 posts)LenaBaby61
(6,965 posts)My friend told me that Thomas has NO chance in the 3rd District because he used to live there.
Notice I said he used to live there That race was called just now for Murphy.
applegrove
(118,022 posts)U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.5% Dan McCready Dem 25,389
49% Dan Bishop GOP 24,617
0.5%Other23
50% of precincts reporting (0/210)50,241 total votes
+ View detailed results
U.S. House, North Carolina 3rd congressional district
The heavily Republican 3rd District stretches across Eastern North Carolina, including the Outer Banks and Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune.
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
57.6% Greg Murphy GOP 27,588
41.6% Allen Thomas Dem 19,946
0.8%Other368
22.5% of precincts reporting (53/236)47,902 total votes
Response to applegrove (Original post)
applegrove This message was self-deleted by its author.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)Dan McCready 50,218 52.9%
Dan Bishop 44,176 46.6
Jeff Scott 321 0.3
Allen Smith 184 0.2
94,899 votes, 16% reporting (33 of 210 precincts)
applegrove
(118,022 posts)Legends303
(481 posts)I don't get my hopes if it shows the Democrat leading(please let it stay that way) and wound up loosing anyway.
applegrove
(118,022 posts)applegrove
(118,022 posts)U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district
The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
51.9% Dan McCready Dem 52,180
47.5% Dan Bishop GOP 47,736
23.8% of precincts reporting (50/210)100,456 total votes
Hermit-The-Prog
(33,039 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)Legends303
(481 posts)LenaBaby61
(6,965 posts)This is going to be a nail-biter .....
blm
(112,920 posts)to Dem GOTV in Mecklenburg. Their county Dem machine makes every dollar count.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)applegrove
(118,022 posts)U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district
The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
49.9% Dan McCready Dem 61,123
49.5% Dan Bishop GOP 60,713
0.6%Other701
46.2% of precincts reporting (97/210)122,537 total votes
applegrove
(118,022 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)a kennedy
(29,467 posts)applegrove
(118,022 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)a kennedy
(29,467 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)bearsfootball516
(6,369 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)drray23
(7,587 posts)The rural counties are in. The last big Republican county is 81 % in whereas the big dem county ( which is 1/3 of the entire population ) in only 24% in and mccready is over performing there. He is at 59 %.
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)compared to last year.
blm
(112,920 posts)FBaggins
(26,697 posts)It all depends on which precincts are still out.
On edit - Half of the remaining Mecklenburg votes just came in with no significant change in net votes in the county. Those last 25% need to be blue precincts
88% reporting - now down by ~3,200 (2%)
Va Lefty
(6,252 posts)lindysalsagal
(20,444 posts)Good.
Response to lindysalsagal (Reply #35)
Drunken Irishman This message was self-deleted by its author.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)The Republican is out-performing areas compared to 2018. McCready also ran for an entire two years, had an opponent whose party tried stealing the last election and is currently on pace to do worse than he did a year ago.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)a kennedy
(29,467 posts)napi21
(45,806 posts)be real close.
EarlG
(21,894 posts)McCready is slightly underperforming his 2018 totals in the six small counties, but turnout is a lot lower. Bishop is on track in Union. McCready is currently way overperforming in Mecklenburg, with 28% reporting there.
Edit: Bishop has done what he needs to do in Union with 100% reporting. Its all on Mecklenburg now.
Legends303
(481 posts)Vote difference.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)On straight extrapolation McCreedy should have 4-5,000 plurality left in Mecklenburg
Takket
(21,425 posts)Mecklenberg only 54% in and McCready up 7000 there. If that trend continues McCready will win by about 5000.
Legends303
(481 posts)But bladen has 58% and thats heavily GOP
Response to Legends303 (Reply #43)
Celerity This message was self-deleted by its author.
sharedvalues
(6,916 posts)sharedvalues
(6,916 posts)CousinIT
(9,151 posts)The rural areas + those around Charlotte/Mecklenberg - blood red with exception of a few spots. NC is always a disappointment.
a kennedy
(29,467 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)All repug counties have been counted. I will be happy to call it for mcready at this point.
splunge63
(102 posts)FBaggins
(26,697 posts)+13 now. The last 25% were almost 50/50
a kennedy
(29,467 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Far less sure at this point :
applegrove
(118,022 posts)U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district
The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.5% Dan Bishop GOP 80,927
48.9% Dan McCready Dem 78,468
0.6%Other954
78.6% of precincts reporting (165/210)160,349 total votes
a kennedy
(29,467 posts)Ace Rothstein
(3,109 posts)Bettie
(15,998 posts)affected by the storm? Could that have affected turnout?
triron
(21,916 posts)diva77
(7,605 posts)It's Charlotte.
Bettie
(15,998 posts)got hit...and my grasp of specific geography of that area is sketchy at best!
Rats.
FBaggins
(26,697 posts)Union county looks like 40% turnout... while Mecklenburg just crossed half of that (with a dozen precincts yet to report).
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Legends303
(481 posts)Gop with 88%
George II
(67,782 posts)Takket
(21,425 posts)but the remaining precincts must have had very small population because it jumped to 76% and the vote total barely moved.
this one is over.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Takket
(21,425 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)how are only 60k people voting??
triron
(21,916 posts)triron
(21,916 posts)triron
(21,916 posts)triron
(21,916 posts)bearsfootball516
(6,369 posts)Iliyah
(25,111 posts)That said, hats off for Dan McCready!
secondwind
(16,903 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)CaliforniaPeggy
(149,308 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)CaliforniaPeggy
(149,308 posts)Celerity
(42,666 posts)We went from winning Robeson by almost 5000 votes to almost losing it, and then the Rethugs flipped Cumberland and Richmond outright
2020
2018
CaliforniaPeggy
(149,308 posts)Or were the republicans that determined?
This is breaking my heart.
Celerity
(42,666 posts)I d not have the raw data, but the biggest drop-offs seem to come from high minority areas (which is what fucked us the worst in 2016). Robeson, Cumberland and Richmond are heavily A-A, probably 30% or so overall.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Trump won this by double digits in 2016, and they barely kept it by 2% today. From the nytimes:
"As Mr. Trump heads into a re-election year, the closeness of the outcome in a district that hasnt been held by a Democrat since the 1960s confirmed once more that he energizes Democrats and some independents to fight against him just as much as he inspires Republicans to fight for him. In 2018, Democratic candidates flipped several G.O.P.-held House seats in districts that Mr. Trump had won, a sign of distaste among moderate and suburban voters who reluctantly backed him in 2016. "
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/10/us/politics/north-carolina-special-election.html
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)We lost it by (so far 2.2%). Turnout is always higher in general elections. We could win this back in a little over a year....
Polybius
(15,239 posts)I get it that it's a special election, but that didn't stop Republicans from turning out today.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Meaning if we get within a few points in enough of them, we will still be gaining a good amount in 2020.
bearsfootball516
(6,369 posts)It's why it's hard to beat Republicans in these low-turnout elections. They come out every. single. time.
Polybius
(15,239 posts)Roy Moore was just that situation. This one apparently wasn't important enough.
Celerity
(42,666 posts)Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)If he does even close to as bad as the republican candidates in their districts in 2018 and today, he will lose the state. I'm convinced there is little to say he won't. In this district alone he might be down 9%. Add that up among the rest of the state and he's toast.
Celerity
(42,666 posts)Unfortunately, those are 3 of the most corrupt Rethug states in the US, especially GA and NC.
This is going to be a brutal election. Only way the country doe not partially tear itself apart is a MASSIVE Rump loss, with him then being tried and convicted and imprisoned post-presidency, and finally a 'de-nazification' (not literally, but in de-programming intent) scheme to try and ram the white power genie back in the bottle (which I doubt will happen).
I am afraid forces have been re-released and re-invigorated in the zeitgeist that are going to take decades to diminish.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)A Southerner would definitely help the ticket but the sheer unpopularity of trump is noteworthy for those states. I remain optimistic.
Celerity
(42,666 posts)orangecrush
(19,236 posts)Their cheating will make the difference.
It will come out after it is over.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)still 10% left
orangecrush
(19,236 posts)They always win.
Cheat.
Lather, rinse, repeat.
bearsfootball516
(6,369 posts)Sometimes, you just dont get as many votes.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)the party that wins. Due to that fact, reality is far harder to accept.
applegrove
(118,022 posts)U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district
The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.9% Dan Bishop GOP 93,725 ✓
48.6% Dan McCready Dem 89,486
0.6%Other1,103
97.6% of precincts reporting (205/210)184,314 total votes
budkin
(6,691 posts)This race should have defaulted to McCready after Harris was busted. Instead, they get a do-over?
Takket
(21,425 posts)how Mecklenberg had McCready up 7000 with 54% of the vote counted and he finished only 8000 up in that county. since the most urban areas (blue) are almost always totaled nd submitted last, how did he do that bad in the last 46%? were they actually all red areas in the county?
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)rural with only a few hundred people each.
Blaukraut
(5,689 posts)Apparently, Dem voters have the attention spans of gnats and can't be bothered to vote unless the house is on fire or something.
Takket
(21,425 posts)MyMission
(1,845 posts)Living here in Western NC for 16 years. Born and raised in NYC. Dreaming of moving back to Northeast.
Bitterly disappointed...I hate my state! Bears repeating. Damn rednecks! Dumbfucks. Shit for brains southerners. They probably rigged this election too.
And meadows is my rep(rehensible) gerrymandered con grrr assman, worst of all.
What is wrong with all these people, the ones who voted and those who didn't?!?!
Shit, bullshit, more shit, fuck this shit!
ooky
(8,885 posts)It doesn't mean as much when they don't control the House. And maybe we will get him next year on the down ballot when more voters turn out.
mnhtnbb
(31,319 posts)Born in Manhattan, grew up in Jersey.
Been in NC since 2000. Didn't think I could ever live in the south. Really enjoyed Chapel Hill--surrounded by progressive Dems-- until the Repubs took over the state after gerrymandering from 2010 election. Look where we are 9 years later. It has taken that long to FINALLY get a court decision to redo the state districts.
Rather than moving back to north east, move to a blue area here in NC. Asheville, Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill...we need your vote!
MyMission
(1,845 posts)Thanks for commiserating.
I'm not leaving any time soon, but harbor many thoughts about escaping this evangelical region. I tell folks I want to retire to the Northeast, when many have retired here from elsewhere. Financially unable to make a move anywhere at the present time. But I do go to Asheville fairly often, to enjoy the company of like-minded people and the illusion that I live among them.
And I am both hopeful and skeptical that fixing the gerrymandering will yield better results.
mnhtnbb
(31,319 posts)prior to the gerrymandering. We had 7 Dem reps and 6 Repub reps instead of the 10 Repubs and 3 Dems after the gerrymandering.
It is true you can't get away from the red completely, but if you are at some point able to make a move to a blue area like Asheville, or the Triangle, you will end up meeting a lot more people who are sympathetic to Democratic causes and live Democratic values.