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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAre we near a recession? The godfather of the inverted yield curve says it's 'code red'
Is the U.S. nearing a recession?
Its the multi-trillion dollar question on the minds of executives and investors around the world. The inverted yield curve, a key predictor for financial downturns, has appeared in recent months at a time when international markets have soured.
Yet U.S. stock markets are still near their all-time high while U.S. retail sales appear upbeat. So some are arguing the yield curve inversion that has predicted each of the last seven downturns, is mistaken this time around.
But the academic who discovered the correlation between an inverted yield curve and the subsequent downturn stands by its predictive power in this particular case.
I have gone on the record to issue a recession code red, says Campbell Harvey, a professor of finance at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. Growth will slow according to my model.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/are-we-near-a-recession-the-godfather-of-the-inverted-yield-curve-says-its-code-red/ar-AAH2kK7?li=BBnb7Kz
Kurt V.
(5,624 posts)underpants
(182,799 posts)And then I'm a lock.
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)I never doubted he would kill our economy.
davekriss
(4,616 posts)Iliyah
(25,111 posts)recession time is very near.
safeinOhio
(32,675 posts)safeinOhio
(32,675 posts)this year.
pansypoo53219
(20,976 posts)of course the moron is gonna tank it.