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garybeck

(9,942 posts)
Wed Sep 18, 2019, 10:27 PM Sep 2019

The astounding advantage the Electoral College gives to Republicans, in one chart

The study, by three economics researchers at the University of Texas, quantifies just how often the Electoral College will produce an “inversion” — that is, an election where one candidate wins the popular vote but the other walks away with the presidency. The numbers are simply astonishing.

In modern elections where one party prevails by just 2 points in the two-party popular vote, “inversions are expected in more than 30% of elections.” That number rises to 40 percent in elections with a 1 percentage-point margin.

Republicans, moreover, are far more likely to benefit from an inversion than Democrats. “In the modern period,” the study suggests, “Republicans should be expected to win 65% of Presidential contests in which they narrowly lose the popular vote.”




https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/9/17/20868790/republicans-lose-popular-vote-win-electoral-college
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The astounding advantage the Electoral College gives to Republicans, in one chart (Original Post) garybeck Sep 2019 OP
Well, I guess that shows which party FoxNewsSucks Sep 2019 #1
Post removed Post removed Sep 2019 #2
it's not new evertonfc Sep 2019 #3

FoxNewsSucks

(10,429 posts)
1. Well, I guess that shows which party
Wed Sep 18, 2019, 10:43 PM
Sep 2019

was really playing 3-D chess while the other one played checkers.

Depressing, because it appears that Democrats are doing little or nothing about it. This better motivate blue states to get that 270 vote compact passed NOW.

Response to garybeck (Original post)

 

evertonfc

(1,713 posts)
3. it's not new
Wed Sep 18, 2019, 11:15 PM
Sep 2019

The electoral college isn't new. We have won with it many times- by significant margins. The fact that we have been losing ground in Ohio, for example, even with changing demographics has more to do with not voting- to name a few problems. There are only about 8-10 states that are in play anymore and Demographic changes favor us every year. This isnt rocket science. We have to see big turnout in urban areas and compete in suburbs to win. I yearn for a young Bill Clinton or Obama agian. Since we dont have that face of the future, hopefully our dislike of Trump will push us over the finish line with one of the current canidates.

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