General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsLouisianna election : UPDATE Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards wins!!
Last edited Sun Nov 17, 2019, 01:10 AM - Edit history (4)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/11/16/us/elections/results-louisiana-governor-general-election.html?module=inlinehttps://politicalwire.com/2019/11/16/why-the-louisiana-governors-race-is-so-close/
"SNIP.....
Why the Louisiana Governors Race Is So Close
November 16, 2019 at 12:09 pm EST By Taegan Goddard61 Comments
New York Times: The crucial cultural dividing line in Louisiana has always been north-south. Those who live in north Louisiana are mostly Protestant, speak with a familiar Southern twang and, in the modern era, voted heavily Republican. But rural South Louisiana is more Catholic, the accent is like nothing else (as anyone knows listening to the L.S.U. football coach Ed Orgeron on Saturdays) and the politics has tended more Democratic.
Yet as Louisiana voters go to the polls Saturday to decide the highly competitive runoff for governor between Gov. John Bel Edwards, a Democrat, and Eddie Rispone, his Republican challenger, the traditional regional divide is giving way to an urban versus rural political chasm that is shaping elections across the country. Republicans are dominating the countryside across much of the state, while Democrats are running up large margins in the cities in both the north and south while gaining strength in the suburbs.
....SNIP"
Ferrets are Cool
(21,107 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)so yes, it will change.
FBaggins
(26,748 posts)at140
(6,110 posts)Any results yet?
Eliot Rosewater
(31,112 posts)Last edited Sun Nov 17, 2019, 01:30 PM - Edit history (1)
But I am getting sick of stupid voters everywhere.
EDIT so glad to be wrong, the good guy Won
at140
(6,110 posts)If it was not for that artificial and illogical electoral college, she would be president.
guillaumeb
(42,641 posts)And my freedom to be exploited as a worker in a non-union shop.
evertonfc
(1,713 posts)how people watch results and freak out at 2% reporting. lol
VarryOn
(2,343 posts)Louisiana is as red as they come. A Dem winning, even as an incumbent, is a great accomplishment. On the level of KEntuckys election the other day.
Polybius
(15,428 posts)It will make the Kentucky win a push.
VarryOn
(2,343 posts)Trying to be positive!
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)I swear, they showed 98% reporting (with Edwards down by 5 points). I refreshed the page and it's at 5.45% reporting and Edwards down by 9 points.
jezebel321
(278 posts)Garrett78
(10,721 posts)evertonfc
(1,713 posts)but so far, looking good. Outperforming in needed areas so far
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)Its the 3rd largest Parish in the state. Its heavily African American.
There are lots of blue votes out there.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Hav
(5,969 posts)Jefferson parish (almost equal) and East Baton Rouge (2/3 Dem) were larger. At this point, Edwards is doing a bit better in those combined.
But clearly, Orleans is the one where Edwards needs a huge lead.
Polybius
(15,428 posts)They are a joke, I hope no one pays for one.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Polybius
(15,428 posts)But the one in the OP is not free and requires a subscription.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Polybius
(15,428 posts)I click it and it immediately wants my money for a subscription.
Salviati
(6,008 posts)That might work better.
exboyfil
(17,863 posts)You can afford a subscription. /s
druidity33
(6,446 posts)Legends303
(481 posts)evertonfc
(1,713 posts)Is in super good shape at this point
FBaggins
(26,748 posts)There are four counties that are close enough to complete that we can compare to the 2015 race. Assuming the shift in those counties is indicative of the race overall, it looks like a 1% victory for Edwards.
Roughly what the polls showed.
Looks like turnout in Orleans will tell the tale.
a kennedy
(29,672 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)ornotna
(10,803 posts)KY_EnviroGuy
(14,492 posts)Link: https://www.theadvocate.com/site/baton_rouge_election_results.html?872
Information courtesy of the Louisiana Secretary of State's Office.
1789 of 3934 precincts reporting - 45% at 10:05pm. JBE slightly ahead.
Refresh this page to get most current results.
Good luck, JBE!
KY.......
patricia92243
(12,597 posts)Quackers
(2,256 posts)evertonfc
(1,713 posts)Legends303
(481 posts)evertonfc
(1,713 posts)our areas are out
Quackers
(2,256 posts)Im not familiar with LA.
Hav
(5,969 posts)Orleans, East Baton Rouge and Caddo. All of those are still under 50%.
maximusveritas
(2,915 posts)That is where we usually run the best and he is doing better than usual. If that holds up, he should pull this out.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Urban areas are the biggest unreported area
East Baton rouge
New orleans
Legends303
(481 posts)oasis
(49,389 posts)mucifer
(23,549 posts)marybourg
(12,633 posts)And project.
Demovictory9
(32,457 posts)fingers crossed
Hav
(5,969 posts)There is no way Edwards will give lose that lead even temporarily now with almost all of the R votes in.
evertonfc
(1,713 posts)Hav
(5,969 posts)Some strong red areas are open as well but only one bigger one. The current deficit could get equalized by Caddo alone. And then there are still 2 larger Dem ones who haven't even reported 50%.
It's hard for me to see how Edwards won't win this unless Orleans really swings to towards the R.
Legends303
(481 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)W_HAMILTON
(7,867 posts)Wasserman has been posting live updates and Bel Edwards has been beating most of his benchmarks and then there's this:
Link to tweet
It looks like a lot of blue areas are still out and Bel Edwards is already basically tied. Why do you say "not looking good?"
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Garrett78
(10,721 posts)W_HAMILTON
(7,867 posts)Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)Blue_true
(31,261 posts)But Louisiana Democrats, Indies and some republicans stood up and said "hell no!" to republicans.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)East Baton Rouge and Orleans with 1/3 yet to come in and huge leads in each
MadLinguist
(790 posts)93% in. Trying to remember to breathe
Initech
(100,080 posts)BleedsBlue
(113 posts)AP calls it...
MadLinguist
(790 posts)Yes indeed!!!
grantcart
(53,061 posts)struggle4progress
(118,293 posts)Leghorn21
(13,524 posts)FUCK YEAH ORLEANS!!!!!