General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAussie fires update. Conditions worsening.
First, have a look at the Bureau of Meteorology rain radar for Victoria.
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR021.loop.shtml#skip
Right now, I'm directly under the middle of the big rain band. It's heading east with the gale force winds that accompany a strong front from the west. There's a minor cyclone over NW westerns australia which is driving this front.
The little arrows are wind direction. Right now, there is a hot northerly over the main fires, which are toward left of map on the coast but extending a long way inland in mountainous, forested country. When those winds swing around to the west, the fires will start burning back towards the coast and the most heavily populated places.
Hopefully the rain will be heavy and provide some relief from the fires. I'm terrified of what happens in the next couple of hours.
uppityperson
(115,679 posts)alittlelark
(18,890 posts)I am in pain from an unimaginably horrendous situation thousands of miles from me.
StarryNite
(9,460 posts)It's so heartbreaking.
Demovictory9
(32,475 posts)Hekate
(90,793 posts)KY_EnviroGuy
(14,494 posts)found available on the page Canetoad posted.
Link: http://www.bom.gov.au/products/national_radar_sat.loop.shtml
Rain rates look very light but it's better than nothing......
And, here's a temperature map for Friday:
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=T&level=2m&tz=AEDT&area=Au&model=CG&chartSubmit=Refresh+View
Note: You can click on the day and time on that calendar scale above the map to see forecast temperatures. It's showing temps around 50 deg-C tomorrow in the interior.
Thanks for posting, Canetoad!
canetoad
(17,184 posts)I spend hours digging around on the BoM site. Some fascinating stuff.
Apart from El Nino/La Nina, SE Australia is affected by two other big climate patterns; the Indian Ocean Dipole and the Southern Annular Mode. Both have been in a phase that has seen greatly reduced rainfall in this area. The Bureau has advised that they are both returning to normal and the chance of some rain is increasing.
KY_EnviroGuy
(14,494 posts)Climate and weather are an interesting hobby but I have too many others to give those much time, although as a retired engineer I love studying most everything.
Just wondering: what sort of threats are you seeing predicted for post-fire runoff dangers relating to pollution of rivers and other drinking water supplies, along with the danger of flash flooding and mudslides?
KY.......
canetoad
(17,184 posts)Because bushfires generally happen towards the end of summer in Jan/Feb when everything is tinder dry. This early fire season is an anomaly. I can't recall any instances of mudslides such as those in California - but there's always a first time.
I think the main water supplies for Melbourne and surrounds are pretty safe - not so much the east of the state. The Murray River - biggest in Australia, originates up in the fire zone and is the northern boundary of most of Victoria, culminating in seasonal wetlands in South Australia. That could be a big worry for the wildlife and also farmers who rely on the water.
It's pouring here - I'm on the mainland coast, just about due north of Burnie in Tasmania, so the rain will probably stop soon. Wind seems to have settled into a westerly, so with a bit of luck the fire zones will have a good soaking in a couple of hours.
greytdemocrat
(3,299 posts)And move/run if conditions warrant it.
TygrBright
(20,763 posts)I cannot even imagine how scary and painful this must be for you and everyone there.
You're in my heart- you, canetoad, and all your neighbors, and the critters and the growing things and all the amazing life on that amazing continent.
Well, except for those who enabled that asshole Morrison, I suppose. They're on their own.
I guess love and hopes and good wishes and prayers and all that insubstantial stuff aren't all that helpful against the realities in your face right now.
But they're what I've got, and they're yours.
worriedly,
Bright
canetoad
(17,184 posts)Right now, it's absolutely pissing down rain here but it hasn't reached the fires yet.
Can't even look at stories or photos of animals, birds, reptiles affected by this. It distresses me too much. We have a Labor State Premier who was a gov. minister during the 2009 fires, and everything he learned from that, he's put into action; warning systems, evacuations. I have a lot of admiration for Daniel Andrews. Not so much for Morrison. Did you know he's an evangelical?
TygrBright
(20,763 posts)I'm glad your state, at least, has some competent leadership.
Keep updating us, please.
May the rains keep coming, in abundance...
concernedly,
Bright