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deminks

(11,014 posts)
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 08:36 PM Feb 2020

Latest Quinnipiac: Everybody beats #orangeface




(end snip)

The trumpinistas will cheat, so we have to GOTV. But this meme that the MEDia has about women can't beat 'em, or socialists can't beat 'em, or centrists can't beat 'em, or billionaires can't beat 'em is, to quote the orange jesus, bullsh*t.

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Latest Quinnipiac: Everybody beats #orangeface (Original Post) deminks Feb 2020 OP
Great but national polls are trash tman Feb 2020 #1
Actually, I think the national polls were pretty accurate... Jeebo Feb 2020 #4
I know but they and final vote tally proved irrelevant. tman Feb 2020 #5
Exactly! TomSlick Feb 2020 #8
there are like 6 states that actually matter for the EC these days 0rganism Feb 2020 #2
Michigan will be back in the Democratic column in November. roamer65 Feb 2020 #6
Don't forget Trump told people in Michigan OliverQ Feb 2020 #10
Debbie is my rep. roamer65 Feb 2020 #12
Running up the score in urban areas texasfiddler Feb 2020 #3
Don't t take these polls seriously people lie to pollsters esp this far out FloridaBlues Feb 2020 #7
Polls are data points, and are thus useful information... Wounded Bear Feb 2020 #11
Bloomberg Sogo Feb 2020 #9
His poll numbers surprised me as well. smirkymonkey Feb 2020 #13

tman

(983 posts)
1. Great but national polls are trash
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 08:40 PM
Feb 2020

when it all comes down to the swing states.

Let us learn from 2016.

Jeebo

(2,025 posts)
4. Actually, I think the national polls were pretty accurate...
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 08:52 PM
Feb 2020

...I don't remember the numbers in terms of national percentages, but I think Hillary's popular vote margin of 2.86 million was close to what the national polls were showing. The problem, of course, was how those votes were distributed.

-- Ron

TomSlick

(11,100 posts)
8. Exactly!
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 11:40 PM
Feb 2020

Come on pollsters, do this kind of poll limited to swing states. Give me some useful information.

0rganism

(23,957 posts)
2. there are like 6 states that actually matter for the EC these days
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 08:47 PM
Feb 2020

as someone in the twitter thread mentions, i'd like to see EC modeling for each candidate
AZ,FL,OH,MI,PA,WI: if our nominee runs strong in those states, we're good. if not, the Democratic ticket could be up in the national polls by 8 points and still losing.

of course, this is largely based on the old rules. now, we have an unfettered criminal executive operating without oversight or accountability. everything is uncertain.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
6. Michigan will be back in the Democratic column in November.
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 09:23 PM
Feb 2020

Dump attacked the son of a popular former governor, George Romney.

I predict 57 percent of Michigan voters will be in the D column in November.

 

OliverQ

(3,363 posts)
10. Don't forget Trump told people in Michigan
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 11:47 PM
Feb 2020

Debbie Dingell's husband is in Hell. He was a very popular member of Congress there.

texasfiddler

(1,990 posts)
3. Running up the score in urban areas
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 08:52 PM
Feb 2020

Doesn’t win the electoral college. We are fucked. Goodbye environment

Wounded Bear

(58,670 posts)
11. Polls are data points, and are thus useful information...
Mon Feb 10, 2020, 11:49 PM
Feb 2020

definitely not definitive in a Presidential.

But, this indicates national support generally for Dems around the country in an election when we're trying to flip the Senate as well as win the White House.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
13. His poll numbers surprised me as well.
Tue Feb 11, 2020, 12:09 AM
Feb 2020

I didn't think he had a chance, but maybe the fact that he is infuriating Trump w/ his ads is part of his appeal. I certainly know that I am enjoying seeing him getting under the orange turd's skin.

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