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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums'Recipe for a Massive Viral Outbreak': Iran Emerges as a Worldwide Threat (NYT)
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/24/world/middleeast/coronavirus-iran.htmlRecipe for a Massive Viral Outbreak: Iran Emerges as a Worldwide Threat
Long a regional crossroads, Iran is spreading the new coronavirus to a host of neighboring countries. Many are ill-equipped to cope.
By David D. Kirkpatrick, Farnaz Fassihi and Mujib Mashal
Feb. 24, 2020
Iranians outside a Tehran hospital. Experts warn that the coronavirus may be spreading from Iran throughout the Middle East. Wana News Agency, via Reuters
Religious pilgrims, migrant workers, businessmen, soldiers and clerics all flow constantly across Irans frontiers, often crossing into countries with few border controls, weak and ineffective governments and fragile health systems.
Now, as it struggles to contain the spread of the coronavirus, Iran is also emerging as the second focal point after China for the spread of the disease. Cases in Iraq, Afghanistan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Lebanon, the United Arab Emirates even one in Canada have all been traced to Iran, sending tremors of fear rippling out from Kabul to Beirut.
The Middle East is in many ways the perfect place to spawn a pandemic, experts say, with the constant circulation of both Muslim pilgrims and itinerant workers who might carry the virus. Irans economy has been strangled by sanctions, its people have lost trust in their government and its leaders are isolated from much of the world, providing little clarity about the extent of the epidemic.
Civil wars or years of unrest have shattered the health systems of several neighboring countries, like Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and Yemen. And most of the region is governed largely by authoritarians with poor track records at providing public transparency, accountability and health services.
It is a recipe for a massive viral outbreak, said Peter Piot, director of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and the former founding executive director of the Joint United Nations Program on H.I.V./AIDS.
Millions of Muslim pilgrims travel each year from around the region to visit Shiite holy sites in Iran and Iraq. In January alone, 30,000 people returned to Afghanistan from Iran, and hundreds of others continue to make the pilgrimage to Qom, the site of the outbreak, every week, Afghan officials say.
Iraq closed its border with Iran on Saturday, but millions cross it every year. So scores of infected people could potentially have brought the virus to Iraq, depending on how long it has been present in Iran. And as of midday on Monday in Najaf, flights to and from Iran were still taking off and landing.
lapfog_1
(29,205 posts)but is keeping the entire thing under wraps.
At least we don't need to worry too much about travelers to/from North Korea.
What has surprised me a little is South America and Africa. Almost no cases reported there (except in Egypt).
dalton99a
(81,526 posts)It may be that the virus is present but thus far has been undetected. Africas weak medical infrastructure makes detection of mild forms of the disease especially difficult. There may be other factors at play specific to the virus. For example, there has been media speculation that the continents hot and humid climate is inhospitable to the disease. On the other hand, there are many parts of Africa where the climate is temperate, and two major international airportsJohannesburg and Addiswhich both serve cities of about 8 million each, including a significant slum population, enjoy cool, dry climates. Still, neither city has reported any cases of corona virus.
https://www.cfr.org/blog/potential-coronavirus-africa
JCMach1
(27,559 posts)Then we are... The constant threat of Ebola and other tropical diseases require rapid response... One of the top priorities
herding cats
(19,565 posts)They've been transparent to date with their infections and deaths, so I'm assuming that's not what you meant.
Africa just got test kits very recently. As in, the past week or so. Let's all hope it doesn't spread there.
Coventina
(27,125 posts)Unless the poster you're referring to has edited their post after you pointed it out?
herding cats
(19,565 posts)My apologies!
herding cats
(19,565 posts)I misread your post! I thought it read "South" not "North" Korea.
I'm deeply sorry. Please, forgive me.