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trof

(54,256 posts) Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:08 PM Sep 2012

2

OK, I never heard on Nate Silver until a few days ago. Here he is from wiki:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

FASCINATING!

8 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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OK, I never heard on Nate Silver until a few days ago. Here he is from wiki: (Original Post) trof Sep 2012 OP

Really? He has been a major source of polling analysis for the last 5 years. grantcart Sep 2012 #1

Wow! FASCINATING is right! DippyDem Sep 2012 #2

He's the only pollster I ever pay attention to! n/t Suich Sep 2012 #3

Silver is Awesome with a Great Blog Indykatie Sep 2012 #7

Yep, I always read 538. He got 49 out of 50 states right in the last election. Great poll analyst. OregonBlue Sep 2012 #4

Awesome Cali_Democrat Sep 2012 #5

My bet is he does take that into consideration, he's not a pollster and his model is inclusive Hamlette Sep 2012 #6

We won Indiana????? Hamlette Sep 2012 #8

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

1. Really? He has been a major source of polling analysis for the last 5 years.

Reply to trof (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:09 PM

Sep 2012

Now covers polls for the NYT.

DippyDem

(659 posts)

2. Wow! FASCINATING is right!

Reply to trof (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:18 PM

Sep 2012

Suich

(10,642 posts)

3. He's the only pollster I ever pay attention to! n/t

Reply to trof (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:27 PM

Sep 2012

Indykatie

(3,697 posts)

7. Silver is Awesome with a Great Blog

Reply to Suich (Reply #3)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:47 PM

Sep 2012

He's not a pollster though. His analysis of polls is incredible and he is a political writer as well.

OregonBlue

(7,754 posts)

4. Yep, I always read 538. He got 49 out of 50 states right in the last election. Great poll analyst.

Reply to trof (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:32 PM

Sep 2012

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)

5. Awesome

Reply to trof (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:36 PM

Sep 2012

MSM journalists have been contacting him, trying to get him to stop because his predictions are starting to trend toward Obama in a big way. The media wants a horse race for ratings and $$$ and Nate Silver is like a fly in the ointment to them.

Unfortunately statisticians like Nate Silver don't take into account voter suppression

Hamlette

(15,412 posts)

6. My bet is he does take that into consideration, he's not a pollster and his model is inclusive

Reply to Cali_Democrat (Reply #5)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:46 PM

Sep 2012

but I know nothing. I've read about his model but not recently.

Hamlette

(15,412 posts)

8. We won Indiana?????

Reply to trof (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2012, 08:48 PM

Sep 2012

I forgot. I remember being so happy that we won NC and if you'd asked me I'd of said we lost Indiana. Indiana was the one Nate got wrong. I thought he got NC wrong.

Doesn't look so good this year but it will be interesting. NC is possible this year.

Ground game.

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