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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNo, Trump is not going to suddenly become FDR
Why I am not concerned about trump's meager polling bounce
Link to tweet
First, lets note that this increase in Trumps approval is relatively small, given that were in the midst of one of the most monumental crises in American history.
In such extraordinary circumstances, the presidents approval would normally be shooting up. At times like these, Americans are looking for comfort. They want to believe that the president and the government are in control.
When Lyndon B. Johnson took over after John F. Kennedys assassination, his approval rating was 78 percent, even though he hadnt done anything yet. Likewise, Gerald Ford had a 71 percent approval upon taking office during Watergate; it didnt fall until he pardoned Richard M. Nixon. (Were using Gallups historical data.) .
And after 9/11, George W. Bushs approval soared to 90 percent. This is the historical pattern: In times of crisis, the presidents approval will go up almost regardless of whether hes doing a good job or not.
So if in the midst of a public health nightmare and a horrific looming recession, Trumps approval goes up by a few points, its not exactly a ringing endorsement of his presidency.
Improvements in Trumps approval will likely remain relatively constrained compared to those historical standards, because as everyone knows, were in a period of intense polarization. There are fewer so-called real independents (who dont actually lean to one party), and nearly all those who do associate with a party will never give thumbs up to a presidential candidate from the other party.....
Whats more, built-in perceptions of Trump will remain. As Aaron Blake notes, the new Post/ABC poll showing Trumps approval rising also finds a large majority 58 percent think Trump reacted too slowly to the crisis. If things go seriously south, then that built-in sense that Trump botched the early response could compound public blame going forward, particularly since hell likely keep up with the depraved public spectacles.
In such extraordinary circumstances, the presidents approval would normally be shooting up. At times like these, Americans are looking for comfort. They want to believe that the president and the government are in control.
When Lyndon B. Johnson took over after John F. Kennedys assassination, his approval rating was 78 percent, even though he hadnt done anything yet. Likewise, Gerald Ford had a 71 percent approval upon taking office during Watergate; it didnt fall until he pardoned Richard M. Nixon. (Were using Gallups historical data.) .
And after 9/11, George W. Bushs approval soared to 90 percent. This is the historical pattern: In times of crisis, the presidents approval will go up almost regardless of whether hes doing a good job or not.
So if in the midst of a public health nightmare and a horrific looming recession, Trumps approval goes up by a few points, its not exactly a ringing endorsement of his presidency.
Improvements in Trumps approval will likely remain relatively constrained compared to those historical standards, because as everyone knows, were in a period of intense polarization. There are fewer so-called real independents (who dont actually lean to one party), and nearly all those who do associate with a party will never give thumbs up to a presidential candidate from the other party.....
Whats more, built-in perceptions of Trump will remain. As Aaron Blake notes, the new Post/ABC poll showing Trumps approval rising also finds a large majority 58 percent think Trump reacted too slowly to the crisis. If things go seriously south, then that built-in sense that Trump botched the early response could compound public blame going forward, particularly since hell likely keep up with the depraved public spectacles.
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No, Trump is not going to suddenly become FDR (Original Post)
Gothmog
Mar 2020
OP
This poll has as much a chance of staying as a snowball in Jamaica...in July
world wide wally
Mar 2020
#2
UTUSN
(70,725 posts)1. Nah, not "suddenly" nor in an era!1
world wide wally
(21,754 posts)2. This poll has as much a chance of staying as a snowball in Jamaica...in July
Gothmog
(145,489 posts)3. From Nate Silver