As I feared Michigan numbers are grim.

[gibraltar72]

over 1 thousand new cases and over 50 deaths.

[leftyladyfrommo]

1. Why did Michigan get so bad? nt

[gibraltar72]

2. Not sure I have that answer. Big air hub I also think we just may be ahead of the curve.

Watch kill rate in Louisiana. Once we started testing more it became apparent where we were. The frightening thing is with slow testing you only knew where you were a few days ago. Not where you actually are today.

[htuttle]

3. It's probably at least partly bad luck

https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-vs-flu-social-distancing-infections-spread-explainer-video-2020-3

1 person infected, without social distancing, can be responsible for 59,000 getting infected (due to exponential growth).

[Brainfodder]

9. 3 to the tenth power is 59,049 for those wondering....

1 person gives it to three and each of those branches gives it to 3....

I read that same info.

It's probably a lot worse in areas with a high density of knuckleheads.

[unblock]

4. detroit. every major city in america is headed for this, sooner or later.

[gibraltar72]

5. Someone posted Indianapolis was about to be hammered.

Don't think they've done much testing in Indiana.

[Igel]

11. Probably.

The same number of cases, it's the timing that's really at stake.

Which brings us back to the question, Why the timing?

I look at Texas and while things are still early, Dallas/Ft Worth has 12 dead, San Antonio 5, El Paso 0, and Houston 4. (At 1.3 acres at 3:26 pm on 3/30, since these things change so fast and so often). We started at about the same place at the same time, and I don't know that DFT has that much greater connectivity with the outside world than Houston.

Dallas/Ft worth has 7.7 million, Houston 7 million, so it's not like there's a huge difference in population, either, making it incorrect to compare the numbers. San Antonio looks worse at 2.6 million at 5 deaths. How much is random chance and how much is either due to mitigation measures undertaken or even things like how the urban space is structured?

[llmart]

6. Where are you getting those numbers?

I saw 50 new deaths from 3/28 to 3/29 and an additional 21 deaths from 3/29 to 3/30 and the day's not over yet.

[WhiskeyWulf]

7. This page has been updated today:

https://www.michigan.gov/coronavirus/

Scroll down a little.

[llmart]

10. I've been following the Johns Hopkins page.

But I see their numbers are as of 4 PM each day, so they are probably a bit different.

[gibraltar72]

8. Bridge Magazine is always ahead of the State official reporting

They obviously have an inside source. You can book it.

[gibraltar72]

14. Howdy neighbor

My favorite uncle lived not far from Metro. Actually a Belleville address just between fairgrounds and Willow Run.

[gibraltar72]

16. My uncles house was in a development north side of 94.

Think they were basically built in the 50s. Spent a lot of time there as a boy. Cousins all went to Belleville High school. Before Metro was the big deal uncle would take us to Willow Run. My dad worked there during the big war. Better days.

[Takket]

13. early march was spring break........ a lot of those people you saw on the beaches spreading it

came back to detroit area.