A political scientist says the media is making a big mistake about Trump's chances in 2020

[LiberalArkie]

Between now and November, President Donald Trump’s reelection campaign will come up with many different ways to attack his Democratic opponent, former Vice President Joe Biden. But how effective the lines of attack will be remains to be seen. And Daniel W. Drezner, a professor of international politics at Tufts University, argued that many are in denial about Trump’s standing in the 2020 election.

Some mainstream media coverage of the campaign, Drezner writes in a Washington Post op-ed, is — in an effort to be fair to Trump — downplaying some of the problems his campaign is facing during the coronavirus pandemic.

“My personal favorite is this headline on an Associated Press story: ‘Coronavirus could Complicate Trump’s Path to Reelection,’” Drezner asserts. “I know the AP is as strait-laced as possible in its coverage, and to be fair, the story is straight-forward in describing Trump’s challenges come November. Still, this is equivalent to a headline on December 8, 1941, saying: ‘Japanese Attack on Pearl Harbor Could Complicate America First’s Desire for Isolationism.’”

More

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/04/a-political-scientist-says-the-media-is-making-a-big-mistake-about-trumps-chances-in-2020/

Emphasis mine. I could not resist with a headline like that.

[FM123]

1. I like his analogy:

Democrats have united behind their candidate. Trump cannot campaign on the economy. Attacking Biden on China is like trying to bail out the Titanic with a toy bucket.”

[CaliforniaPeggy]

2. This final paragraph sums it up very neatly:

“Trump’s surprise victory in 2016 has caused political analysts to focus on the ways he can survive this debacle. And there is a chance that he can,” Drezner writes. “In the past century, only three presidents have run for reelection and lost. But the fact remains that Trump lost the popular vote and barely eked out an electoral college victory in 2016. November’s election will be a referendum on his presidency, and the country will be worse off in every possible way compared with four years ago."

[Vogon_Glory]

6. A Question To Throw At The Repiggies:

Are you better off than you were four years ago?

It might be a little unfair but he, when have the Repiggies played fair?

[dubyadiprecession]

9. That's good!

Let’s not forget about adding in some of those phrase’s that resonate,like: malaise, trump fatigue, and the misery index.
Some of that, might sink in with them.

[joost5]

20. It will take more than Ivanka's voting machine patents to take Dems down. nt

[gratuitous]

22. And my question to throw at the political pundits

How has Trump expanded his voting base in the last four years?

Let's take a quick trip to fantasyland and pretend everything was on the up-and-up for the 2016 election. Trump lost the popular vote by 2.8 million ballots. He won several states by less than the margin of error. What has he done to shore up his support in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania? Will he hold Florida? How? What has Trump done in those states to win them again? Will he win any states that he lost in 2016? What's your rationale for that? Because Trump has done nothing for states that he lost in 2016.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

35. He appears to be trying to buy them with medical equipment. ...

Remember that Florida received 300% of what they requested while Maine received about 5%.

Why are the feds seizing med supply shipments going to states?

We need to watch out for what that walking pile of cat shit and his parasitic gang try to do between now and November.

[Rainbow Droid]

40. Trump doesn't win by doing things. He appears to win because he appears to do things.

[keithbvadu2]

23. What have you got to lose?

[calimary]

33. The impatient Dr. Trump's "patient".

Maybe he’ll be able to sell autographed gold-colored body bags for his fans to bury their loved ones in. Hey

[keithbvadu2]

34. Ivanka to the rescue... Trump family financial rescue.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EV7S5HZXsAEoK2k?format=jpg

[Hermit-The-Prog]

36. image ...

Just replace the "?format=jpg" with ".jpg" to let DU display it in the post.

[keithbvadu2]

37. Thanks. I just thought it was too big to display.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

39. Welcome. I hope Princess Putrescense can't get a patent on those body bags.

[Thunderbeast]

26. Their answer is yes.

Because the liberals are suffering.

[calimary]

32. I think it would be fabulous to throw the words of their beloved "Saint Ronnie" back at them.

“Are you better off, now, than you were four years ago?

This time, it’s likely that talking point will help Democrats instead of republi-CONS.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

13. Take nothing for granted. . . . nt

[Rainbow Droid]

38. Can enough voters be convinced, with no evidence, that Trump has somehow been "winning" for them?

Also, is there anything illegal, unethical, unconstitutional, undemocratic, genocidal, idiotic, or batshit crazy that would cause any sizable portion of Trump's cult/base to stop supporting him?

Try to think of something.

I tried and I can't.

These thoughts are chilling for a reason.

[wryter2000]

3. Thank heaven

I thought it was going to be Lichtman again saying Trump would win.

[BigDemVoter]

11. Same here.

I saw that headline and purposefully didn't read it, as I thought it was going to state that Der Fuhrer would win. . . .

[wally baby]

30. In 60 years of voting I have found that one should never, ever overestimate the electorate.

[Wounded Bear]

4. Dems just need to keep their eyes on the prize...

Trump has always been deeply flawed. We didn't get that message across in 2016.

Vote Blue! No matter who!

[doc03]

5. I live in Ohio in MAGAt land they still support him as a matter of fact

I know some life long Democrats that hated him and now support. I don't understand it but they still support him.

[Boomerproud]

17. I know. It breaks my heart.

My father is rolling in his grave.

[MFGsunny]

7. Article on Alernet

https://www.alternet.org/2020/04/a-political-scientist-explains-how-the-media-is-making-a-big-mistake-about-trumps-chances-in-2020/

[kentuck]

8. All they have to do is keep giving him two hours a day....

and they are well on their way to putting him back in office.

For once, they should videotape his briefings and edit out the "political crap" before they show the rest of it.

That would be the fair and honest way to go about it.

Because he is using them.

[dreamland]

10. I've been saying that since ...forever.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

14. +1. tRump got $2 billion free advertising in 2016. . . . nt

[The Wizard]

28. When Reagan vetoed the Fairness Doctrine

it opened the door for the likes of Pox News and hate radio, essentially Russian propaganda 24 / 7.
After that News was for ratings and advertising dollars, rather than reporting the unvarnished truth. Trump was a gold mine for news outlets as he fomented violence with his appeal to the disaffected and stupid. He brags about his ratings because ratings is all that matters to the bean counters.
Unless and until we restore the Fairness Doctrine we will be subjected to a constant stream of Putin inspired propaganda.

[wryter2000]

19. I'm not sure those rallies are helping him

Sure, with his base. But they alone aren't enough to elect him.

[smirkymonkey]

12. We have got to be the dumbest fucking nation on the planet.

How anyone can support this stupid, lying, cheating, narcissistic, grifting, evil, vulgar, incompetent former game show host and carnival barker is just beyond me. I can't get my mind around it.

How can so many people be so incredibly stupid?

[ffr]

16. Because we have 25% of the voting public that is exactly the same.

And we have a segment of the population in the middle that doesn't give a shit about anything or anyone else, not even themselves.

Put it together and the stupid, lying, cheating, narcissistic, grifting, evil, S.O.B.s just need a few more voters to make it a race. Because no matter what, no matter how many Americans die, no matter how much the economy craters, no matter how many people lose their jobs, conservatives have an evil core that will cast their votes for their candidate like clockwork and rePuticans will be re-elected like the shitting incompetent self-serviing jobs they did while in office had no bearing on anything.

We have to fight for every vote for democrats. And we must stomp every conservative out, now!

[bucolic_frolic]

15. I don't think AP has ever drifted left of 60% right of center

Their coverage is the most entrenched, non-bias appearing bias of all of them. It's almost invisible and causes few to question it.

[SoonerPride]

18. Republicans are going to get wiped the fuck out in November.

The country is literally sick of their shit.

[LiberalArkie]

31. Here in rural Arkansas, Asa Hutchinson, Tom Cotton are liberals, so is Fox News.

When IU went to the grocery store yesterday, a Trump store had opened up down town. I was the only person wearing a mask, the only person flowing the arrows on the floor. I really do not see any sign that his support has done anything but get better. I asked my clerk why no one was following the arrows and nor wearing masks, she had no idea and was scared.

[C Moon]

21. Putin could serve up Trump a 911 before November.

With everyone focused on COVID now, a lot of crap is probably being done behind our backs.

[IronLionZion]

24. 2 of those 3 lost reelections were Republicans

Ford, Carter, Bush. Next one has to be Trump. The future of humanity depends on it.

So in 2020 it will be 3 Republicans lost reelection and 1 Democrat.

[The Wizard]

25. I know a few Republicans

who are wondering who they voted for in 2016. I remind them he's neither conservative nor Republican, but rather a lunatic with the keys to the Treasury he's using to pay his personal debts to Putin and Russian banks. It's why he hasn't disclosed his tax returns. Ask them how much they saved in taxes as compared with net income after expenses.

[denem]

27. 15% unemployment - he's gone.

[Ford_Prefect]

29. While Trump is flailing ATM his voters won't care in November. The MSM and the DNC have vastly

under reported and underestimated the influence and direct intervention of the GOP and Putin's vast array of shills, 3rd party trolls and hackers, and their ability to adjust and disorder the vote and how it is counted.

Trump can do much to lose voters it is true. However, those who put him in power aren't going to sit on their hands and wait for the next 2 or 4 year cycle. They have nearly shut down the Republic. That is not a tactical position they are likely to cede without one hell of a fight.

A rat is most dangerous when it is cornered.

[colsohlibgal]

41. His Foaming At The Mouth Fans Are Not Enough

He is even loosing super fans right and left from this virus....and will lose more. He also is losing educated Suburban 2016 voters at a good clip, especially women.

I think Wisconsin was telling, people risking their life to vote in a Democrat. I know I would crawl through broken glass to vote this evil dumb clown out so he can be held accountable for his crimes, financial and all his other illegal goings on.