Obama Is Trading At 65% On Intrade

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

There's a whole bunch of Marist/NBC polls coming out tonight.Think someone got a peak.

[barbtries]

1. i don't get what this is.

do people actually make and lose money on this? forgive my ignorance...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. It's Very Accurate

Because people have to put their money where their mouths are.

It's like betting on any other event.

[gcomeau]

6. nitpick...

It is an accurate reflection of what people who spend money betting on this stuff *think* is going to happen... right now.

That's not the same thing as being accurately predictive if whether they'll actually be right. Use caution when using Intrade as any kind of forward looking predictive mechanism.

[Logical]

8. BS, look at obamacare vote!

[Guy Whitey Corngood]

3. That's higher than a couple of days ago. So Rmoney's "Smirktober Surprise" doesn't seem

to be the "game changer" the psychotic right was hoping for.

[2pooped2pop]

4. that's up almost 10 points from right before

Repiglican convention to now. I'm thinking he was at 54 but had been as high as 57.

[renie408]

5. I have been watching since yesterday morning. Obama has been moving steadily up since

Romney made his comments Tuesday night.

[Logical]

7. Intrade means nothing!