First tropical storm of hurricane season may develop near Florida, Bahamas by this weekend
Weeks ahead of schedule, the hurricane season's first tropical system could develop near Florida and the Bahamas this weekend, forecasters said Tuesday.
As of midday Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center said there was a 50% chance of development within the next five days. "An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas," the hurricane center said.
The official start to the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is June 1, although storms often form before that date, as they have in each of the past five years. The peak of the season is usually in September.
If the system gets a name, it would be Tropical (or Subtropical) Storm Arthur. Subtropical storms are those that have characteristics of both tropical and non-tropical weather systems.
Storms get a name when their winds reach 39 mph.
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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.
1. 1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop late this
week or early this weekend a couple of hundred miles north of
the Bahamas. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a subtropical depression or storm
is likely to form this weekend while it moves northeastward over
the western Atlantic. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT Wednesday, or earlier, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
