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catbyte

(34,403 posts)
Sun May 17, 2020, 02:47 PM May 2020

Bill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trump's re-elect

Bill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trump’s re-election bid

Published 2 mins ago

on May 17, 2020

By Tom Boggioni

According to former President Bill Clinton’s political director, the path to the White House for presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is becoming clearer as polling shows that Donald Trump is hurting in some normally reliable Republican-leaning or pivotal swing states.

In the report, obtained by Axios, Doug Sosnik said the Rust Belt states already listed as key to both campaigns — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin — are still in play but that Trump is in danger of losing at least two of the three, in part because of the coronavirus pandemic.

snip

With that in mind, Sosnik laid out Biden’s best path to the White House, according to Axios:.

Michigan, Pennsylvania and Arizona: Biden wins all three states — his best option, given the political environment. (Map)
Michigan and Pennsylvania + two congressional districts — Nebraska-02 and Maine-02. (Map)
The Rust Belt: Biden wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. (Map)
Michigan and the Sunbelt: Biden carries Michigan, Arizona and North Carolina. (Map)
Florida +1: Biden carries Florida, getting him to 261 electoral votes.

A win in any of the other battleground states would put him well past 270. (Map)


https://www.rawstory.com/2020/05/bill-clinton-polling-guru-pinpoints-surprising-states-biden-can-lock-down-to-derail-trumps-re-election-bid/

The full report is here:

https://www.axios.com/doug-sosnik-electoral-realignment-trump-biden-c4efd9cd-ba41-4f75-ac12-412ca2e6f0ba.html

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I hope we Michiganders fuck up his chances on November 3 as much as he's fucked with our CV-19 supplies.

On edit:

This is my favorite part of his study:

The bottom line: Biden's best strategy:

Make putting Michigan out of reach for Trump the top priority.
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Bill Clinton polling guru pinpoints surprising states Biden can lock down to derail Trump's re-elect (Original Post) catbyte May 2020 OP
This should be like 2008, when any idiot with a "D" could have won the presidency. JustABozoOnThisBus May 2020 #1
Excellent news! Demsrule86 May 2020 #2
I don't see him losing Michigan or Pennsylvania qazplm135 May 2020 #3

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,350 posts)
1. This should be like 2008, when any idiot with a "D" could have won the presidency.
Sun May 17, 2020, 03:01 PM
May 2020

Our only problem in 2008 was in having two very capable candidates. Only one could become president of course. The other became secretary of state.

After eight years of GWB, the dem, whether HRC or BHO, was a shoo-in.

2020 should be like that.

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
3. I don't see him losing Michigan or Pennsylvania
Sun May 17, 2020, 03:23 PM
May 2020

so focus hard on those two, and then hard on Wisconsin and Arizona as the top four states you are working.

Next level Florida, North Carolina and the two congressional districts

Test the waters on Georgia.

Texas will only tease us IMO.

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