Is the Crisis Putting the Republican Senate in Jeopardy?
If you look at history, Trump isn't the only politician who the crisis could take down.
By JEFF GREENFIELD
06/06/2020 07:00 AM EDT
Its a question as obvious as it is critical: How will the trio of crisesthe pandemic, the economy, the demands for racial justiceaffect the 2020 race for the White House. But in Washington, there are other implications that could matter almost as much to the direction of national policy, chief among them the Senate.
In many ways this is a question equal in importance to the outcome of the Presidential race. Just picture Trump without a GOP Senate to rubber-stamp his Supreme Court picksor a President Biden forced to fight Mitch McConnell for every inch of ground.
What do these varied ills bode for the Senate? As it turns out, history has some powerful answers to this questionand they leave Republican partisans with a strong case of agita.
As a general proposition, when the nation is in a state of crisis, things do not go well for the Presidents party. When a war becomes a quagmire (Korea in 52, Vietnam in 68), when the economy craters (1980, 2008), voters look for a different leader. Far from a retreat to safety or a rally round the flag sentiment, there is an instinct to show the people in charge the way to the exit. (George W. Bushs re-election in 2004 may be a counterexample, but it took place in the broad wake of anxiety over the attacks of September 11three years before the electionand before the baleful consequences of the Iraq War were fully clear.)
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https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/06/06/crisis-republican-senate-jeopardy-304278