General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsPossible November election result?
Biden 54%, Trump 44%?
America does not approve of Trump's crisis management. An experienced pol is what is needed in these times.
Coleman
(853 posts)Never forget they cheat.
bearsfootball516
(6,377 posts)Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)I am tired of the doom and gloom folks ...most of whom supported a different candidate.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)That would be Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Joe is leading in all of these states...just stop.
CTyankee
(63,912 posts)I wish we could stop, but upon reflection, my suggestion is we turn the discussion to what we ARE ALREADY DOING in those states to win them. I'd like to hear from folks in our campaigns in those states. It would rest my soul (for I am sure it is plenty), I can tell you that.
Eid Ma Clack Shaw
(490 posts)Yes, its a collection of state wide elections blah blah blah, but a 10% lead is never going to fall short of 270. Swing states dont exist in so much of a bubble that theyll all line up towards the loser when theres a national landslide. You reverse that margin and the Democratic candidate is struggling badly to hold on to states like Connecticut, Maine, Delaware, Oregon and New Jersey. New Mexico, New Hampshire, Nevada and Virginia are long gone; thats how considerable a 10% win is, so even with the GOPs baked-in electoral college advantage its beyond implausible that a win could be eked our under such conditions.
Clinton won the popular vote by 2.1%, and missed out by what, 77,000 votes? Chances are a lead of a further 1% nationwide would have tipped each of the swing states into her column. Shed probably be facing defeat this year, but at least the Trump experiment would be a distant memory.
Initech
(100,080 posts)Biden will win:
1. CA - 55
2. Oregon -7
3. Washington - 12
4. Nevada - 6
5. Wisconsin - 10
6/ Minnesota - 10
7. Illinois - 20
8. Michigan - 16
9. New York - 29
10. Pennsylvania - 20
11. Vermont - 3
12. New Hampshire - 4
13. Maine - 4
14. Massachusetes - 11
15. Rhode Island - 4
16. Connecticut - 7
17. New Jersey - 14
18. Delaware - 3
19. Maryland - 10
20. DC - 3
21. Ohio - 18
22. Texas - 38
23. Virginia - 13
24. Colorado - 9
25. Hawaii - 4
26. New Mexico - 5
Total: 327
And yes I do think it's quite possible that Texas and Ohio could flip. That would instantly take Florida out of the equation.