The 2020 Cake Is (Almost) Baked

[catbyte]

Biden has the biggest, most durable lead of any presidential challenger ever. He's more personally popular than Trump. The wrong-track number is at -38. And there are only 20 weekends left before Election Day.

by Jonathan V. Last
June 8, 2020

Axios reports that Trump’s 2020 campaign team met last week to figure out, well, everything. Jonathan Swan’s scoop is really something:

President Trump’s top political advisers, in a private meeting last week, said their boss needs to add more hopeful, optimistic and unifying messages to balance his harsh law-and-order rhetoric.

Why it matters: They’re deeply concerned about “brutal” internal polling for the president in the aftermath of his handling of the coronavirus pandemic and George Floyd’s killing.

Behind the scenes: During a meeting of top political advisers at campaign headquarters on Thursday afternoon, the president’s 2016 campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, raised a question that many close to the campaign have been asking themselves recently: “What’s our message?”

When an incumbent president is trying to figure out his message in June, that’s not a sign of strength.

It’s the electoral equivalent of the birds and other wildlife all suddenly rushing inland while the Republican Senate frolics on the beach.

snip

In just about every story written about the campaign you’ll find the phrase “a long time away.” The idea being that there’s still plenty of time left between now and November 3 and just about anything could happen.

Neither of those two propositions is really true.



snip

https://thebulwark.com/the-2020-cake-is-almost-baked/

Axios article:

https://www.axios.com/trump-campaign-internal-polling-f022697e-03cc-4fe0-8aab-cbffd1f74a0c.html
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I know we can't get cocky and complacent and we have to work like hell, but dang, this article makes me hopeful.

[maxsolomon]

1. What's Trump's message?

"L'Etat, c'est moi."

[lagomorph777]

3. Let them eat tear gas.

Sorry - chemical irritants, definitely not tear gas.

[maxsolomon]

5. Unless you say "Pepper Ball Fumes"

You're being a librul hysteric and are out of your depth. Tear Gas is JUST NOT ACCURATE, and that's what's most important in this moment: technical accuracy.

[mitch96]

7. Personally I think if the cops throw teargas the protesters should throw SHIT!!

Not just any shit.. smelly stinky pig shit.. That stuff burns your eyes... Then again that's me..
YMMV
m

[Quemado]

11. Qu'ils mangent du gateau.

Let them eat cake.

[lagomorph777]

2. "the electoral equivalent of the birds and other wildlife all suddenly rushing inland ..."

A rising blue wave that lifts all Democratic boats...and crushes the Republican beachfront estates.

[Turbineguy]

4. "What's our message?"

"We're working for Putin and want to destroy the country!"

Obviously.

[LisaL]

6. That's exactly what people were saying back in 2016.

That no way Trump was going to be elected. And look how that turned out.

[whopis01]

9. Yes. This is certainly a good sign, but it isn't the real thing.

There is only one poll that carries any weight at all.

[mitch96]

8. 147 days to election and 226 till he is gone..... nt

[Jeebo]

10. Nevertheless, five months is a LONG time.

Yes, I'm optimistic about our chances to "flush the turd on November 3rd", and also about our chances to take the Senate and hold on to the House.

But still, an awful lot can happen in five months.

-- Ron

[DesertRat]

12. So true. And I'm worried about complacency

We still need make sure that everyone is registered and votes!

[roamer65]

13. I want to see Joe get to 60 pct.

I want to see the electoral map all blue this time around. Like 1972 or 1984 in reverse.

[JPbelgium]

14. It ain't over till the fat guy weeps... (nt)

[crickets]

15. Good one! nt