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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHere's some interesting news regarding the election......a GOP warning.
With all the focus on a slew of new polls that show President Donald Trump falling further behind former Vice President Joe Biden, one number has largely slipped through the cracks -- and it is a blaring warning signal to Republicans on the ballot this fall.
Here it is: 51% of registered voters said they would prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats in 2021, while just 40% preferred a Republican-controlled Congress, according to a new Wall Street Journal-NBC poll released Sunday. That marks a change in Democrats' favor from January when the party had just a 6-point edge over the GOP on what is known as the "generic ballot" question.
(Side note: it's called the "generic ballot" because no specific candidates named are used. Just the two parties.)
The generic ballot has long been used by political handicappers as a sort of blunt instrument to understand voter sentiment. Think of it as a sort of weather vane that tells you which way the political winds are blowing and, roughly, how strongly.
Traditionally, small edges for either party (3 points or under) on the generic ballot tend to indicate small-ish gains in Congress for that side. But once one side has a double-digit lead in the generic ballot, look out! That tends to correlate with much larger seat switches.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/08/politics/generic-ballot-house-democrats-republicans/index.html
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)We need to completely destroy the Russiapublican Party, from President, down to dog catcher.
a kennedy
(29,672 posts)no second guessing, a crushing to show the country has had enough of his bullshit governing.
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)to 35%.
All he and GOP can do is make it worse
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)bucolic_frolic
(43,176 posts)It was always Trump making sound bites that fed the narrative that the two parties had little difference.
I suggest to you that idea is out the window this year because voters are very much aware, and this period of time here is the hardest move in polling in one direction since pre-2018 voting.
Sounds good at this point.
Dios Mio
(429 posts)Poor grammar
DrToast
(6,414 posts)Now he seems to have fallen to the same levels.
Beartracks
(12,816 posts)Ford_Prefect
(7,901 posts)We've had polls tell us before that GOP was not the preferred brand and still they bagged majorities where it counted in the electoral votes. Yes, we know they cheated and Puti helped. I'd like to see them do a real comparison where the voting mattered in 2016, rather than a nationalized averaging.
catbyte
(34,402 posts)a kennedy
(29,672 posts)Thanks for sharing.
certainot
(9,090 posts)like before rw radio started up in the late eighties, early 90s and gave the only advantage they have