General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRCP Last average - Battleground Matchups. Best to worst looking.
Virginia. Biden +9.7 (5/17/20)
Michigan. Biden +7.3 (6/3)
Minnesota. Biden +5 (5/20)
New Hampshire. Biden +4.6 (4/27)
Wisconsin. Biden +4 (6/2)
Nevada. Biden +4 (1/8)
Arizona. Biden +3.4 (6/2)
Florida. Biden +3.4 (5/31)
Pennsylvania. Biden 3.3 (5/31)
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North Carolina. Trump +0.3 (6/3)
Last Biden +4
Ohio. Trump +0.5
Last Biden +2
Texas. Trump +1.5 (6/1)
Last Trump +1
Iowa. Trump +4.6 (5/1)
Last Trump +2
pwb
(11,292 posts)good news here.
Squinch
(51,025 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Kerry being ahead by a couple on election eve in Florida and then bush "winning" by a couple. Like a 4-5 point swing overnight and exits had few deciding last minute.
But headwinds so much stronger now. Nothing done about tRussian interference. Pandemic can absolutely affect turnout. Suppression will be rampant. It's like GOP has too many things in their favor to spin a win.
And even if trump defies all polls and "wins" again. Who would do anything about it? Not like you could prove that results are wrong.
Squinch
(51,025 posts)we're 7 or 8 points up in the number of swings we need.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Been worried about him not vacating WH if he loses. (Wait till he goes to play golf and change locks).
But, if he cheats and "wins" there will likely be mass protests, but what else can be done?
SoonerPride
(12,286 posts)Squinch
(51,025 posts)Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)oswaldactedalone
(3,491 posts)NC, Ohio, Texas, and Iowa, Im reading those polls as Trumps numbers are improving. Is that right?
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Was, for example, you'll see Biden avg +9.7 in VA. But the most recent single poll had him up +12.
But whatever made people dislike trump more in the last month, how long will that last?
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)it was always going to be good for a percent or two for him.