What is the US COVID-19 death toll going to be in 2020?

[milestogo]

11 votes, 1 pass | Time left: Unlimited
	130,000 because its going to go away today
	0 (0%)
	175,000
	0 (0%)
	250,000
	2 (18%)
	350,000
	2 (18%)
	500,000
	4 (36%)
	750,000
	0 (0%)
	1,000,000
	1 (9%)
	1,500,000
	2 (18%)
	More than my mind can comprehend
	0 (0%)
	OTHER
	0 (0%)
	1 DU member did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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[mucifer]

1. This thread is a bit twisted.

[milestogo]

2. Say what you have to say or nobody knows what you mean.

[mucifer]

3. Predicting deaths IMO is a bit twisted

That's what this thread is about.
Just my opinion. You don't have to agree with it.

[milestogo]

4. Denial is a bit twisted.

[mucifer]

7. I'm a hospice nurse who wears a face shield and N95 at work. We have covid + patients and staff

I'm not in denial.

It's a discussion thread and I have my opinion.

[dewsgirl]

5. I chose other, because we are not getting anything close to

an accurate death toll out of most states.
We won't know for a very long time what the actual accurate counts are.

[mackdaddy]

6. 10% of the "Resolved" Covid cases are Dead.

After you get through this illness you are either "Recovered" or Dead. If you look at these numbers, they have been consistently an best a 10 to 1 ratio.

I think maybe the treatment has been getting somewhat better as the millions of cases are a real time experiment on what might work to reduce the death rate. But the numbers are still nearly 10 to 1.

So future deaths can be roughly estimated from the currently "Active" cases. We currently have 1.5 million active cases in the US, and we added 50 thousand new cases just yesterday. So we could have another 150 thousand die from just the current cases, and from the cases added yesterday, we could have 5 thousand of them die in the next 60-90 days.

But we will be adding another many tens of thousands of new cases today.

We could cut these numbers by 95% if everyone just wore a mask....

[GeorgeGist]

8. 200000