Cook: November could bring more of "a Democratic tsunami than simply a blue wave."

[babylonsister]

https://www.axios.com/cook-political-report-biden-trump-electoral-college-70dbf3e3-981f-4e00-9f7c-0fd7ee212ff3.html

39 mins ago - Politics & Policy
Cook Political Report says Biden has Electoral College edge
Fadel Allassan


The Cook Political Report on Wednesday updated its Electoral College forecast to give Joe Biden a decisive edge in the presidential contest, suggesting that November could bring more of "a Democratic tsunami than simply a blue wave."

Why it matters: Cook's forecast, which says 279 electoral votes are at least leaning toward the former vice president, ponders that Trump may be "close to the point of no return," with some analysts the group spoke to wondering if the president now faces "a permanent loss of trust and faith of the majority of voters."

Cook's latest moves:

Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district went from "toss up" to "lean Democrat." It similarly moved Michigan, a center of Trump's white, working-class base, to "lean Democrat" last month.
Maine moved from "lean Democrat" to "likely Democrat." And its 2nd congressional district, which grants its electoral vote separately, moved from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican."
Georgia moved from "lean Republican" to "toss up."

Worth noting: It's only July — and Cook says as much — but Trump has recently dug in with his law-and-order approach that caters to his base.

It also notes the uncertainty surrounding the actual act of voting in November amid the coronavirus pandemic, as the president continues to push against the idea of mail-in voting with unsubstantiated claims of voter fraud.

[Phoenix61]

1. Forcing school openings is not going to help him.

It’s so appallingly stupid and so easy to counter with a better plan. If they push it, massive teacher strikes, bus driver strikes etc.

[2naSalit]

5. Parents keeping their kids home...

who would send their children to donnie's day-camps for death?

[BannonsLiver]

7. Really he's fucked either way

If schools can’t open parents will blame him while they pull out the last of their own hair in frustration. If they do open and kids start getting sick he’s screwed.

[JCMach1]

8. They WILL get sick... TX daycare was a disaster...

[CousinIT]

2. It *could*. IF....

everyone votes
those votes are received in time
those votes are properly counted.

That's a LOT of "IFs".

And a LOT of places where TRUMP can CHEAT, suppress the vote, and interfere or ask for interference.

[tinrobot]

3. I want a wave so deep, Noah starts building arks again.

[2naSalit]

6. LOL!

[MineralMan]

4. Let's all work to help make that happen.