463 -75. My dream and I'm not drinking yet

[Tribetime]

Idaho, Utah, Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, Louisiana, Arkansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, West Virginia.

[elleng]

1. With you, and I rarely drink!

(I see/hope I see some windows, even in your rather conservative list.)

LISTENING to early part of Dr. Strangelove (on TCM now,) so enjoying it along with your list!

'War is too important to be left to the politicians!'

[yellowcanine]

2. You don't think West Virginia is going for Trump again?

I believe that was his biggest win last time.

[Tribetime]

5. Fixed it you're right

[Ohiogal]

3. I'm drinking right now

And that sounds GREAT!

[Initech]

4. I want Trump to lose in the biggest way possible.

He doesn't to win after what he did to this country. He needs to be kicked to the curb.

[TomSlick]

6. Arkansas? Do you know something I don't?

I doubt Trump could lose Arkansas on purpose.

[Arkansas Granny]

12. I agree with you. Trump will carry Arkansas this time around, as well.

He may not get the 60% that he got in 2016, but pretty sure he'll carry the state.

[Tribetime]

13. I got trump taking Arkansas

[TomSlick]

14. If Arkansas isn't called for Trump immediately upon the polls closing,

Trump has had it.

[Jeebo]

7. You don't think the orange con man will win Missouri?

I live in Missouri, and I think you're being optimistic. But I really hope you're right.

-- Ron

[Tribetime]

8. Didn't Obama lose by one tenth of 1% there and 2008

[Jeebo]

10. Yes, it was very close in '08.

So close that they didn't call Missouri for McCain until some time after the election. It was a week or two after the election, as I recall. But that was 12 years ago.

As I said, I hope you're right. It will positively thrill me if Biden carries Missouri.

-- Ron

[rzemanfl]

9. I am too tired to wash socks tonight. Have a good evening. n/t

[Tribetime]

17. I'm going through post and you have to wash an awful lot of socks

[Stallion]

11. Texas Would Signal the Death Knell of the Republican Party

that would be the longshot which would do the greatest long term damage

[edhopper]

15. Trump will win every one

of those States, without a problem. Fortunately Biden doesn't need any of them.

[Music Man]

16. That would be something.

Actually, *if* the polls are right, 413-125 is not out of the question. That would mean winning the Clinton states, as well as Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Arizona, Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina (and NE-2 and ME-2).

Biden is polling quite well in PA, WI, MI, NC, and FL, so it's not a leap to think he can win there. GA, TX, and OH will take work, but polling suggests they're potential targets. Ohio has not trended as well as the other Midwest states, so we'll see.

A recent poll in Arkansas showed Biden within a few points. I won't believe it until I see more polls with that trend. Same with a poll this week in Alaska that showed Biden within three. I'll believe that after Election Day. We'd be talking LBJ landslide territory in that case.