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Demovictory9

(32,457 posts)
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 04:34 AM Jul 2020

Democrat voter registration is suffering disproportionately from the slowdown.

Late last month, the Democratic data firm TargetSmart found that while new voter registrations had plummeted amid the coronavirus pandemic, those who were registering in competitive states tended to be whiter, older and less Democratic than before.

When he saw the numbers, Ben Wessel, executive director of NextGen America, said he "got nervous," and other Democratic-leaning groups felt the same.

----------------------


But the effect of the pandemic on voter registrations was severe. Department of moter vehicles closures, stay-at-home orders and restrictions on large gatherings limited opportunities for new registrations. In a report on the decline last month, the nonpartisan Center for Election Innovation & Research concluded that “the steep decline in new registrations may prove to be a sizable obstacle to what was set, pre-pandemic, to be a record election for turnout.”


In-person registrations ground nearly to a halt as people stopped congregating and college campuses closed. For people of color and other marginalized communities disproportionately affected by the pandemic, Gardner said, it was a “perfect, horrible storm in terms of undercutting registration efforts, and undercutting people’s ability to get registered.”

The study from TargetSmart was especially alarming for Democrats because it spotlighted not only falling registrations, but which party was damaged most in battleground states. In a majority of 10 states TargetSmart studied, registrations skewed older and whiter than before the pandemic. And in the states included in the study that register by party — Florida, Colorado, Maine, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — Democrats made up a smaller share of new registrants than before.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/11/trump-voter-registration-355152

41 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Democrat voter registration is suffering disproportionately from the slowdown. (Original Post) Demovictory9 Jul 2020 OP
We can't ignore this. RandySF Jul 2020 #1
no indeed. this story scared me Demovictory9 Jul 2020 #2
Very scary soothsayer Jul 2020 #4
That's why I argued voter registration should have been priority one Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #3
Not good. Fix this now!! OrlandoDem2 Jul 2020 #5
How? FBaggins Jul 2020 #6
DMVs are open in many states, murielm99 Jul 2020 #8
Here are the states with online registration, and other links. we can do it Jul 2020 #7
That link does not work for me. murielm99 Jul 2020 #9
Try this one... Deuce Jul 2020 #10
Thank YOU! smirkymonkey Jul 2020 #16
Fixed and added more links😊 we can do it Jul 2020 #15
Right, but not a panacea frazzled Jul 2020 #26
I belong to two groups who still phone bank. murielm99 Jul 2020 #30
Last time we did it frazzled Jul 2020 #32
There are a lot of people qwlauren35 Jul 2020 #37
Check with one of your local murielm99 Jul 2020 #41
Of course mass mailings work! murielm99 Jul 2020 #31
Not That More Isn't Better, But... ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #11
Yeah, well, many thought Clinton was a shoe-in to win 2016. Don't forget those turning 18, etc. . nt Bernardo de La Paz Jul 2020 #12
I Get You! ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #29
Not necessarily... regnaD kciN Jul 2020 #33
Not The Case Here ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #35
:facepalm: Trump is close to finishing off democracy in America and we don't have our act together? DSandra Jul 2020 #13
Map of states with and without online registration. we can do it Jul 2020 #14
Texas doesn't have online, but does have online form with mail in option. EqualityNow Jul 2020 #18
I dunno - Politico is so partisan - the headlines shows that -DEMOCRATIC should be lede Hestia Jul 2020 #17
And I didn't see your post malaise Jul 2020 #22
i have to wonder how much the census is affected as well 0rganism Jul 2020 #19
That would be Democratic n/t malaise Jul 2020 #20
+1 n/t Silent3 Jul 2020 #21
Thank you. Correct again. phylny Jul 2020 #27
Democratic, not Democrat dmr Jul 2020 #23
More Politico "Dems in Disarray" bullshit maxrandb Jul 2020 #24
Precisely Me. Jul 2020 #40
K & R Dirty Socialist Jul 2020 #25
I'm going to start ignoring Sunsky Jul 2020 #28
K&R - i think this is Politico click bait baloney onetexan Jul 2020 #34
I hope there's a boatload of brainstorming. qwlauren35 Jul 2020 #36
In PA, you can register right on line DeminPennswoods Jul 2020 #38
Well I can't picture republicans scrambling marlakay Jul 2020 #39
 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
3. That's why I argued voter registration should have been priority one
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 04:45 AM
Jul 2020

Since Trump won. We always do things at the last minute.

The other side never took a day off from suppressing.

FBaggins

(26,748 posts)
6. How?
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 05:50 AM
Jul 2020

Force open DMVs that have been limited by the virus? Go with Trump’s desire to reopen college campuses so that voter drivers can occur? Schedule some “rock the vote” converts and tell people that this kind of mass gathering is safe?

murielm99

(30,745 posts)
8. DMVs are open in many states,
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 06:26 AM
Jul 2020

but they are providing limited services. They could provide voter information for people. They could tell people how to vote online. They could give them other information, such as how to get in touch with the election authority in their county, so that they can get registered.

Since we are limited in how we can contact people, we can put out information on social media and in LTTEs.

There are many ways to do this.

I am not sure I buy the pessimism of this article. I am not seeing this IRL. In fact, I am seeing the opposite, and hearing it from my fellow activists. How about the rest of you?

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
16. Thank YOU!
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:20 AM
Jul 2020

You do not need to show up in person to register to vote. Post this link on all your social media.

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
26. Right, but not a panacea
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 09:02 AM
Jul 2020

1. Potential registrants may not have access to the technology to get online forms, or the relevant skills to navigate them
2. Potential registrants need to be made aware of how to register online. This is difficult, especially in a pandemic. Phone banking is outmoded and inefficient: nobody answers their phone to unknown numbers these days, and phone bankers are told not to leave messages (a big mistake, IMO). Mass mailings might work, but are inefficient for targeting, and expensive.

I think this has to be a nationwide local initiative. Maybe postcard or flier drops at neighborhood doorsteps. TV and radio ads, but these are expensive. Person to person encounters. It’s a conundrum in the era of Covid.

murielm99

(30,745 posts)
30. I belong to two groups who still phone bank.
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 12:57 PM
Jul 2020

It can work. I get many people to answer the phone.

We drop fliers in our precincts. We also do a lot of postcards. They have to be hand-written, with a message that is agreed upon ahead of time. Postcards are expensive. They do support the post office, but they have to be paid for by someone. An Indivisible group, a Democratic central committee or someone has to agree to help with the costs.

I have fifty postcards right now to send to voters in Wisconsin.

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
32. Last time we did it
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 03:36 PM
Jul 2020

Was in 2012, for Obama, from the main campaign office, the weekend before Election Day. Calls to Milwaukee area, from Chicago. Spouse and I each had around 120 names. Each of us got no more than 2 pickups. At that point, we said, the heck with it, and on our next lists, we started leaving messages, despite being told not to.

We did have one verifiable success. The Tuesday morning of Election Day, my husband’s phone rang around 6:30 am. It was a guy who asked if he was the one who had left a message about voting. When groggily assured that yes, he had, the caller said that in fact he did not know where his polling place was and did want to vote. So hubby got up and ran down to his computer and was able to tell the guy where to go. It was easily available online, but this person was either unaware of that or didn’t know how to access the information. This is an example of the issue for both registration and mail-in-ballot requests. And course, each state has different regulations and processes.

In general, I think postcards (volunteers can pay postage themselves), mail flyers, etc. are far more effective than calls right now. But whatever method, at this point in the game, getting explicit information out about how to do these things online, and/or giving a contact number if assistance is needed, is essential. Clipboards on the street or in front of stores are going to be risky in this climate.

Let me just end by saying that in our house we do not answer any call that is from a number we do not know. One reason is that we get too many scam calls. I know some of these calls are from campaign volunteers at this time. But I am already a donor to several campaigns and to the DCCC and DSCC. I do not need to be called. Plus we already applied for mail-in ballots. But the main reason is that, like many out there, we have 2 people working from home. We can’t have our work time invaded.

We cannot think that the methods used in previous election efforts will be effective or sufficient in this time of pandemic.

qwlauren35

(6,148 posts)
37. There are a lot of people
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:47 PM
Jul 2020

Who are willing to pay for postcards.

I do when I do postcard campaigning.

I haven't heard from the postcard campaign people in a long time, but I may not be checking my spam.

murielm99

(30,745 posts)
41. Check with one of your local
Mon Jul 13, 2020, 04:50 AM
Jul 2020

Indivisible groups. A lot of them are doing postcards, since meeting in person is not possible right now.

murielm99

(30,745 posts)
31. Of course mass mailings work!
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 01:00 PM
Jul 2020

We use VoteBuilder to find Democrats who have voted in our area. And if your activists are any good, they know the Democrats in their communities. They know the people who lean Democratic, don't vote in primaries, or are closet Democrats. They contact new people in the community.

Who is talking about panaceas? We cover all our bases.

ProfessorGAC

(65,076 posts)
11. Not That More Isn't Better, But...
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 06:57 AM
Jul 2020

...I thought dems developed a huge advantage in dem leaning registrations from 2016 through 2018.
Hence the very large turnout for a midterm election in 2018.
Wouldn't registrations fall because the pool of unregistered eligible voters is already smaller?

ProfessorGAC

(65,076 posts)
29. I Get You!
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 12:23 PM
Jul 2020

But, because of the hugely successful effort 2 years ago, it seems likely that the numbers would be lower this year.
And, there's still over 3 months!

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
33. Not necessarily...
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:14 PM
Jul 2020

There may be more than three months until the election, but lots of states have early cut-off for registrations. Plus, recall that, if the state is doing vote-by-mail, they have to have time to receive the ballot and get them back in by Election Day.

ProfessorGAC

(65,076 posts)
35. Not The Case Here
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:22 PM
Jul 2020

So, I forgot about that.
Illinois has election day registration. No pre-election cut off.
I forgot that there are states that don't allow that.
Still doesn't address the fact that lower registration numbers might be the result of a smaller pool of unregistered potential voters.
Like I said earlier, the efforts in 2018 were extremely successful.

DSandra

(999 posts)
13. :facepalm: Trump is close to finishing off democracy in America and we don't have our act together?
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:08 AM
Jul 2020

Not to mention killing off millions and essentially committing genocide especially to blacks and latinos via the virus.

 

EqualityNow

(32 posts)
18. Texas doesn't have online, but does have online form with mail in option.
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:29 AM
Jul 2020

Our group in Katy, Texas has been printing out and putting forms on windshields, and instead of engagement canvassing putting Lizzie Fletcher and MJ Hegar campaign pamphlets along with voter registration forms at the minivan canvas locations.

Personally, I've been using the NextDoor neighborhood app to subtly post liberal/progressive topics, and when I see someone respond with a supportive position, I engage them and direct message them with candidate information and voter registration links, and invite them to a neighborhood discord server that I'd created to talk politics and solicit additional support for helping turn Texas blue.

 

Hestia

(3,818 posts)
17. I dunno - Politico is so partisan - the headlines shows that -DEMOCRATIC should be lede
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:26 AM
Jul 2020

has fingerprints of a Roveian nature

0rganism

(23,957 posts)
19. i have to wonder how much the census is affected as well
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:29 AM
Jul 2020

being this is a re-districting year, results of suboptimal turnout are going to stick with us for a decade

maxrandb

(15,334 posts)
24. More Politico "Dems in Disarray" bullshit
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 08:04 AM
Jul 2020

You can count on at least one of these types of stories from Politico everyday. I think they get them from Brad Parscale and just slap their logo on them.

Bottom line is they do this to try to discourage Democratic voters, or to give them some cover for stealing the election.

We need to fight and work and vote like Biden is behind, but we have to push back on these "Dems in Disarray" bullshit stories for what they are.

Go towards the end of the story and you'll see the actual story doesn't warrant the "Hair on Fire" headline from Politico.



"During that time, Republicans, though still behind, “got a couple of extra steps” closer to Democrats.

“It’s not like they’ve built the lead,” Bonier said. “It’s really something where neither side should be celebrating or panicking about.”

Looking at newer data this week, Bonier found Democrats increased their share of registrations in June over the previous month in several states that have reported registrations for that month"

Me.

(35,454 posts)
40. Precisely
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 08:03 PM
Jul 2020

Wish I had a $10.f or every time this has been posted on DU. Thank God the LincolnProject doesn't think this will happen and they are helping us as opposed to Politico looking for clicks with scare tactics

Sunsky

(1,737 posts)
28. I'm going to start ignoring
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 09:15 AM
Jul 2020

Any post linked to politico. Their main aim is to cause a Democratic freakout. When I saw the title, I said, bet this is from politico. This may be true but I'd prefer an alternative source.

qwlauren35

(6,148 posts)
36. I hope there's a boatload of brainstorming.
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:43 PM
Jul 2020

Find every high school graduate. Find every college freshman. Find every person who has been knocked off the polls. Find every person who has bought a house. Talk to moving companies about registering customers. Ask Verizon, Xfinity, gas/electric companies for lists of new customers in the last 4 years or those who have moved.

Brainstorm, brainstorm, brainstorm.


marlakay

(11,474 posts)
39. Well I can't picture republicans scrambling
Sun Jul 12, 2020, 07:59 PM
Jul 2020

To sign up...

Also a neighbor we haven't talked to more than a few times since we moved here 3 yrs ago admitted he voted for Trump but won't again.

He is independent, Trump might have the republicans but he is losing the middle that goes back and forth.

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