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Eugene

(61,945 posts)
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 03:31 PM Jul 2020

The C.D.C. says the number of people infected 'far exceeds the number of reported cases' in parts of

Source: New York Times

LIVE UPDATES Updated July 12, 2020, 3:14 p.m. ET

Coronavirus Live Updates: C.D.C. Says Cases Could Be 2 to 13 Times Higher Than Reported in Parts of U.S.

-snip-

The C.D.C. says the number of people infected ‘far exceeds the number of reported cases’ in parts of the U.S.

The number of people infected with the coronavirus in different parts of the United States was anywhere from two to 13 times higher than the reported rates for those regions, according to data released Tuesday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The findings suggest that large numbers of people who did not have symptoms or did not seek medical care may have kept the virus circulating in their communities. The study is the largest of its kind to date, although some early data was released last month.

“These data continue to show that the number of people who have been infected with the virus that causes Covid-19 far exceeds the number of reported cases,” Dr. Fiona Havers, the C.D.C. researcher who led the study, said in an email. “Many of these people likely had no symptoms or mild illness and may have had no idea that they were infected.”

The researchers analyzed samples from people who had routine clinical tests, or were inpatients at hospitals, in 10 cities and states for evidence of prior virus infection. The team released early data for six of the sites in June, and for all 10 locations Tuesday in the journal JAMA. They also released data from later times for eight sites to the C.D.C.’s website on Tuesday.

-snip-


Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/21/world/coronavirus-covid-19.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage#link-4924e68b

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Related: Commercial Laboratory Seroprevalence Survey Data (U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)
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The C.D.C. says the number of people infected 'far exceeds the number of reported cases' in parts of (Original Post) Eugene Jul 2020 OP
13 is an oddly specific number to choose. Nevilledog Jul 2020 #1
I Think This Is An Aggregation ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #4
Gotcha Nevilledog Jul 2020 #5
Been Hearing 8 to 10 For A While Now ProfessorGAC Jul 2020 #2
Get thee to the greatest page malaise Jul 2020 #3
NYC's 1 in 4 covid exposure is 'nowhere near herd immunity where the virus dwindles down on its own empedocles Jul 2020 #6
Hardly new. Everyone, but the government, seems to have known this form some time. Hoyt Jul 2020 #7

ProfessorGAC

(65,168 posts)
4. I Think This Is An Aggregation
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 03:37 PM
Jul 2020

One body says 2-5x, another says 6-10x, another says 10-13x.
So an aggregation to the estimates is given as 2-13.
I'm guessing here, but I've seen multiple reports on this factoring, so since there's no hard consensus, someone bracketed the whole range.

ProfessorGAC

(65,168 posts)
2. Been Hearing 8 to 10 For A While Now
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 03:33 PM
Jul 2020

Been discussed regularly here at DU.
I'm thinking the last time was around the time of this article.
It's logical, and the same kind of numbers are being tossed about by different experts.
Probably a strong guesstimate.

empedocles

(15,751 posts)
6. NYC's 1 in 4 covid exposure is 'nowhere near herd immunity where the virus dwindles down on its own
Tue Jul 21, 2020, 03:41 PM
Jul 2020

Whew!

'Normal', past the virus, is a long time a-coming.

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