Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,170 posts)
Fri Jul 24, 2020, 05:49 PM Jul 2020

The Rise in Testing Is Not Driving the Rise in U.S. Virus Cases

In spite of what shit-for-brains says.

As coronavirus cases have surged in recent weeks, President Donald Trump has repeatedly said the growing case count is a result of increased testing, not a worsening outbreak. An analysis by The New York Times, however, shows the rise in cases far outpaces the growth in testing.

The average number of tests conducted nationwide has grown by 80% since early June, to 780,000 per day. Daily case counts have grown by 215% in the same period.

Thirty-one states show an increase in cases beyond what would be expected from expanded testing, if the severity of the outbreak had remained about the same. Florida, the state with the largest discrepancy, is reporting more than 11,000 new cases per day, on average, while only about 2,400 cases each day would be expected because of increased testing. California and Texas numbers are also far above what would be expected.

In some states with smaller outbreaks, case growth outpaces testing growth by large percentages. In Idaho, there are more than five times as many cases as would be expected with expanded testing. In Nevada, there are six times as many.

In 14 states and Washington, D.C., testing has increased faster than cases have, meaning positive test rates are falling. Many of those states are in the Northeast. In New York — the epicenter of the outbreak early on — cases have continued to decline, even with more than 60,000 tests performed daily. In five states, cases are about what would be expected.

https://news.yahoo.com/rise-testing-not-driving-rise-121309899.html

2 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The Rise in Testing Is Not Driving the Rise in U.S. Virus Cases (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jul 2020 OP
How can Trump be around actual immunologists for seven months and learn nothing by osmosis? Shermann Jul 2020 #1
+1, ... and the drop in cases looks to be because a drop in testing through put not high level NPI uponit7771 Jul 2020 #2

Shermann

(7,428 posts)
1. How can Trump be around actual immunologists for seven months and learn nothing by osmosis?
Fri Jul 24, 2020, 07:53 PM
Jul 2020

Anyone with a basic knowledge of statistics and one side of a cocktail napkin can work out that there isn't this overly simplistic correlation.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»The Rise in Testing Is No...