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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe Rise in Testing Is Not Driving the Rise in U.S. Virus Cases
In spite of what shit-for-brains says.
As coronavirus cases have surged in recent weeks, President Donald Trump has repeatedly said the growing case count is a result of increased testing, not a worsening outbreak. An analysis by The New York Times, however, shows the rise in cases far outpaces the growth in testing.
The average number of tests conducted nationwide has grown by 80% since early June, to 780,000 per day. Daily case counts have grown by 215% in the same period.
Thirty-one states show an increase in cases beyond what would be expected from expanded testing, if the severity of the outbreak had remained about the same. Florida, the state with the largest discrepancy, is reporting more than 11,000 new cases per day, on average, while only about 2,400 cases each day would be expected because of increased testing. California and Texas numbers are also far above what would be expected.
In some states with smaller outbreaks, case growth outpaces testing growth by large percentages. In Idaho, there are more than five times as many cases as would be expected with expanded testing. In Nevada, there are six times as many.
In 14 states and Washington, D.C., testing has increased faster than cases have, meaning positive test rates are falling. Many of those states are in the Northeast. In New York the epicenter of the outbreak early on cases have continued to decline, even with more than 60,000 tests performed daily. In five states, cases are about what would be expected.
https://news.yahoo.com/rise-testing-not-driving-rise-121309899.html
Shermann
(7,428 posts)Anyone with a basic knowledge of statistics and one side of a cocktail napkin can work out that there isn't this overly simplistic correlation.